07/26/2022, 11:32 am EDT

Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough across Western Caribbean Sea

In the western Caribbean Sea, an upper-level tropospheric trough (TUTT) is persisting. High-level wind identifies the northeast to east wind across the northern Gulf of Mexico to the south of an intense subtropical high-pressure area over Texas.
07/25/2022, 12:43 pm EDT

Strengthening Marine Heat Wave NEP22A Helping to Shape U.S. Pattern

Recently, waters off the West Coast have cooled dramatically. The release of the latent heat involved in this process may have amplified the upper ridge pattern roasting the Northwest U.S. All of the warming of the ocean surface during the past 2+ weeks is north of Hawaii where Marine Heat Wave NEP22A is intensifying.
07/25/2022, 5:05 am EDT

Cold Front Stalls – Drenches Mid-south and Tennessee Valley Mid-to-late Week!

A stalled cold front will trigger excessive rainfall across the Mid-south U.S. to the Carolinas midweek through the weekend. GFS indicates >5 in. of rain in Arkansas and Tennessee while ECM projects higher amounts. Flooding is expected with serval damaging wind events as the heavy rains break the recent heat.
07/24/2022, 1:19 pm EDT

Seasonal Amount Forecast for North Atlantic Tropics Reduced Slightly; Mostly “Fish” Storms. Still…Expect 2 Major Hurricanes to Strike U.S.

Due to unexpected cooler than normal waters in the North Atlantic basin subtropics and only near normal SSTA in the deep tropics the 2022 seasonal tropical cyclone forecast is reduced slightly in the latest Climate Impact Company update.