News
01/24/2021, 12:27 pm EST

Madden Julian Oscillation To Intensify

For the first time since November the Madden Julian oscillation is activated and intensifying in the equatorial Pacific Ocean into early February. The result is increased risk of excessive precipitation in the East-central U.S. and a mild climate pattern east of the Continental Divide as the final month of meteorological winter arrives.
01/20/2021, 5:30 pm EST

Early Next Week Winter Storm In The East

Today’s afternoon “European Model” indicated an evolving storm late Sunday night/early Monday centered on Missouri shifting toward West Virginia Monday evening and offshore the northern Mid-Atlantic States Tuesday morning. A wide range of weather is produced by this storm.
01/20/2021, 5:28 pm EST

Daily Energy Report: Early next week winter storm in the East.

ECM model indicates a winter storm early next week in the East. Fig. 1-3: ECM depiction of a winter storm early next week. Freezing rain/icing is a significant part of this storm affecting the Mid-Atlantic to Ohio Valley while significant (4-8 in.) snowfall extends from the northern Ohio Valley to southern New England.   Discussion: Today’s afternoon “European Model” indicated an evolving storm late Sunday night/early Monday centered on Missouri (Fig. 1) shifting toward West Virginia Monday evening (Fig. 2) and offshore the northern Mid-Atlantic States Tuesday morning (Fig. 3). A wide range of weather is produced by this storm. Most notable is a set-up for freezing rain/icing. Freezing rain could occur as far south as central Virginia early Monday but more organized with significant accretion possible in Maryland/Pennsylvania/New Jersey/Delaware westward to the southern Ohio Valley on Monday. Significant snow (4-8 in.) is likely across Iowa to the northern Ohio Valley and eastward to southern New England into Tuesday. There’s a nice fetch of cold air out of Canada into this system so the wintery regime described is reliable at this early juncture.
01/17/2021, 9:47 am EST

Northern Hemisphere Pattern Change Catalyst for Late January is an Evolving -PNA and +SCAND Pattern

Beginning midweek the northern hemisphere jet stream will trough on the U.S. West Coast and re-strengthen in western Europe. In-between the two vigorous trough patterns a third trough resides south of Greenland. By late January the pattern still remains although with slightly less amplitude. These features shape the last third of January 2021 climate for the northern hemisphere.