News
11/10/2019, 7:48 pm EST

Using Wet PDSI Analogs to Predict Winter Temperature and Following Spring Precipitation

The Great Plains soil moisture regime is historic wet right now caused by the wettest 12-month period on record for this region. A look back at the closest analog years reveals the most recent similarity is 2009 and most dramatic 1993. The consensus upper pattern for following winter certainly supports a prevailing cold U.S. pattern.
11/07/2019, 3:29 pm EST

Global Soil Moisture Anomalies And 3-Month Trend

The most striking soil moisture anomalies across the globe as of Nov. 1, 2019 is the historic wet signature across India (afte rthe latest wet monsoon on record) and drought signatures ove rparts of Brazi, Europe, South Africa and Australia.
11/05/2019, 8:57 am EST

Global DEC/JAN/FEB 2019-20 SSTA Forecast And Climate Influencers

The North American Multi-Ensemble (NMME) model global sea surface temperature (SSTA) anomaly forecast for DEC/JAN/FEB 2019-20 identifies regions of climate influencers. The ENSO regime is neutral. There is no El Nino or La Nina for 2-4 months from now.
11/03/2019, 9:30 am EST

Season’s First Stratospheric Warming Event

The season's first stratospheric warming event emerges the first halof of November peaking on November 10th and located over the northern North Atlantic basin. The most effective stratospheric warming events occur ove rthe polar region nevertheless this episode will enhance a cold pattern across North America and turn Europe stormy into mid-November.