An amplifying upper-level low-pressure trough is forecast to settle over Europe through mid-May causing excessive rainfall from Southern Europe to Southwest Russia. Much of Europe turns much cooler due to the long-lasting storm. The Eastern Europe to Southwest Russia drought certainly receives some wet relief in this pattern. However, Western Europe is dry.

The opinion of Climate Impact Company is that -IOD generation – which is expected – will regenerate La Nina for later this year which would enhance seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin.