A brief review of MAR/APR/MAY 2025 temperature and precipitation anomaly forecasts based on a constructed analog heavily weighted toward current and projected regional SSTA regimes. In the U.S., southern drought expansion while Western Russia turns wet and Western Europe drier. A dry autumn for Brazil ahead!

Climate forcing by colder than normal conditions in the stratosphere during meteorological winter 2024-25 centered on Greenland produced a mostly warmer than normal winter across the northern hemisphere, especially Canada and Eurasia. However, there was a notable exception. Two brief stratospheric warming events took place across Canada, one just after mid-January and another during mid-February. Each event caused a polar vortex episode in North America.