News
05/29/2024, 11:02 am EDT

27C SST Threshold for North Atlantic TC Development Ahead of Schedule

The latest week 2-5 outlook across the North Atlantic tropics indicates above normal risk of a tropical system across the western North Atlantic basin. The 27C SST required to sustain an early season TC is farther north than normal as the tropical cyclone season is about to start.
05/28/2024, 8:51 am EDT

Severe Storms/Heavy Rain and Flooding Mid-south U.S. Continues

Severe thunderstorms bring heavy rain in Texas today where widespread flooding is likely later today and tonight. The maximum risk is across central and north-central Texas. Redeveloping heavy rain and flood risk occurs in Texas and the southwest/south Great Plains on Wednesday. The THU/FRI flood risk is impressive and likely to increase from Kansas to Texas and eastward to Arkansas.
05/27/2024, 2:19 pm EDT

Most Severe Weather Reports of 2024 Was May 26

Nearly two dozen people have been killed due to severe weather this weekend from Arkansas and Oklahoma to Kentucky. Yesterday, the most severe weather reports of any day in 2024 so far were recorded. Most of the 1,136 reports were damaging wind gusts although 16 tornado reports are included.
05/24/2024, 4:43 am EDT

NOAA/NHC 2024 Hurricane Outlook

NOAA/NHC issues their most active seasonal forecast since outlooks began earlier this century. The active forecast follows a similar theme with previous outlooks issued by CSU, TSR U.K., and CIC. Given the number of major hurricanes forecast for this year, monitoring the 86/87F SST (where major hurricanes are most likely) becomes extremely important!