News
03/20/2023, 9:35 am EDT

East Pacific Subsurface Is Warming Fast!

Dramatic warming of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean is a leading indicator of warm ENSO ahead! So far in March, the eastern equatorial Pacific subsurface has warmed dramatically thanks to passage of the Madden Julian oscillation.
03/17/2023, 8:31 am EDT

-PNA climate pattern regenerates, tough to break.

Since late January, the Pacific North America (PNA) index has shifted to a (mostly) steady negative phase. A brief positive phase is with us now, but strengthening negative phase returns in the latest 15-day forecast. The -PNA pattern occurs when an upper-level troughing in the jet stream pattern occurs just off the North America West Coast. The persistence of the -PNA pattern has caused the Northeast Pacific to cool, the Northeast Pacific marine heat wave (MHW) to shift westward and reinvigorate the cool phase of the Pacific decadal oscillation (-PDO).