March 2023 - Page 2 of 7 - Climate Impact Company

News

03/27/2023, 10:40 am EDT

Equatorial East Pacific Warming Impressive – Signals El Nino on the Way!

The upper ocean heat in the equatorial East Pacific is warming sharply. An old Kelvin Wave shifting eastward arrived on the northwest coast of South America the past 1-2 weeks and has caused steady impressive warming in the Nino12 SSTA region. A new Kelvin Wave has shifted east of the Dateline to about 145-140W longitude. The new Kelvin Wave is forecast to reach the northwest South America coast by early May.

03/27/2023, 8:50 am EDT

An Update on Marine Heat Wave NEP22A

Marine heat wave NEP22A located north-northeast of Hawaii is budging eastward again. NEP22A is the 2nd longest duration and 4th largest in aerial coverage MHW since satellite monitoring began in 1982. Dynamic models maintain the eastward shift toward the west coast of North America heading into summertime.

03/23/2023, 5:48 pm EDT

Verifying the CIC-CA Summertime Forecast for South America

Taking a look at the Climate Impact Company summer 2022-23 climate forecast versus verification yielded mostly effective results.

03/21/2023, 3:41 pm EDT

Are We Heading Toward an El Nino Summer in the Tropics?

Dynamic ENSO phase forecast models are indicating a full-tilt El Nino by August 2023. Implied is a tropical cyclone season in the North Atlantic basin possibly similar to the last full-throttle El Nino that suppressed North Atlantic activity. Below normal rainfall was observed during JUL/AUG/SEV 2015 across the Southern U.S., Gulf of Mexico, and western North Atlantic tropics.