April 2022 - Page 2 of 2 - Climate Impact Company

04/11/2022, 8:18 am EDT

Unwanted Cold Emerges in Ukraine and Shifts West across Europe

An unusually chilly air mass in that region is expected to develop and widen in the 6-10-day period according to GFS. The chill is strongest over Ukraine and just to the north in Western Russia. At that time minimum temperature risk dipping to <32F/0C is evident with several areas to 28F/-3C. In the 11-15-day period, GFS pushes the cold pattern westward across Europe. At that time there is a 30-40% risk of <32F/0C through Central Europe.

04/10/2022, 12:59 pm EDT

A Review of U.S. Winter 2021-22

The cold season for 2021-22 offered a lot of variety most of which was not friendly to the natural gas market. The cold season started with a very warm climate feature record warmth in December. However, the mid-winter when temperatures are coldest observed a reversal in the pattern featuring top-third cold in the high energy demand northeast quadrant of the U.S. February brought a “polar vortex” cold outbreak surging into Texas and pulsing across the East followed by another cold shot in early March.

04/08/2022, 7:11 am EDT

The Australian Heavy Rains Continue

The persistent upper-level low-pressure trough across East Australia so far in 2022 coupled with increased low atmospheric moisture caused by the warmer than normal oceans either side of Australia continue to fuel an excessive wet weather regime across East Australia.

04/07/2022, 9:04 am EDT

Brazil and U.S. Drought Concerns

Close monitoring of forecasts across Brazil as we follow the progress of their second corn crop and also the historic dryness already in-place in the U.S. including California, Texas and Montana and the likely intensification ahead as summer 2022 approaches.

04/07/2022, 5:51 am EDT

North Atlantic 2022 Tropical Cyclone Season Forecast: 10th Most-active in 1950-2021 Climatology

The Climate Impact Company early April North Atlantic Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecast for 2022 indicates 19 tropical storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 intense hurricanes are expected. The forecast ranks in the top 10 most active seasons given the 1950-2021 climatology. The accumulative cyclone energy (ACE) index forecast is 135 which ranks the intensity forecast of the 2022 season at 20th most intense given the 1950-2021 climatology.

04/04/2022, 2:42 pm EDT

Madden Julian Oscillation Becoming Active Again; Could Squash La Nina

The Madden Julian oscillation is forecast by GFS to strengthen and shift toward the Dateline over the next 10 days. Beneath that zone, waters are already warming. If MJO shifts east of the Dateline after mid-April another warm surge of water could further weaken La Nina.