August 2025 - Page 5 of 9 - Climate Impact Company

News

08/15/2025, 6:06 am EDT

A screen shot of a weather chart AI-generated content may be incorrect.

08/15/2025, 6:06 am EDT

Support (30-31C Water) for Category-4 Major Hurricane Erin East of Bahamas Early Next Week

Erin is forecast to steadily increase intensity today approaching 29C water temperatures and become a hurricane by tonight. The NOAA/NHC 5-day forecast brings Erin to a major hurricane tomorrow night and is trending farther west of 70W compared to previous forecasts citing the Google Deep Mind AI model. Erin will travel across 30C-31C water early next week which supports intensification to a category-4 major hurricane, somewhat stronger than forecast by NOAA/NHC.

08/14/2025, 7:56 am EDT

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08/14/2025, 7:56 am EDT

30-Day Skill Scores of U.S. Medium-range Temperature Anomaly Forecasts

U.S. medium range 2-meter temperature anomaly forecasts during the past 30 days were most efficient utilizing the new AIFS ENS and ECM ENS in both the 6-10-day and 11-15-day periods. The highly visible GFS forecast lags with second lowest skill scores. Other AI models (4Cast Net V2) also produced lower skill scores. The Canadian Ensemble (CMC ENS) has performed quite well this summer season.

08/14/2025, 5:28 am EDT

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08/14/2025, 5:28 am EDT

Focus on South America Climate: Southwest/Southeast Brazil to Argentina Drought Ahead Into Summer 2025-26

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast valid for September 2025 through January 2026 is based on influence of climate associated with developing weak La Nina and the presence of a marine heatwave off the Argentina Coast. The outlook worsens Brazil drought except for northeast Brazil. Drought in Argentina also worsens.

08/12/2025, 9:37 am EDT

A map of the united states AI-generated content may be incorrect.

08/12/2025, 9:37 am EDT

U.S. Climate Rankings for Each State in July

The U.S. observed the 19th hottest July in the 131-year climatology. Virginia and West Virginia were hottest on record for mid-summer. The eastern third of the U.S. was MUCH ABOVE normal during July. In July, the U.S. observed the 34th wettest mid-summer on record. Despite the heat, Virginia observed the 6th wettest July on record. Iowa observed their 2nd wettest July on record. Some states were very dry including Utah, Alabama, and Maine.