May 2025 - Page 2 of 8 - Climate Impact Company

News

05/27/2025, 5:38 am EDT

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05/27/2025, 5:38 am EDT

Neutral ENSO Continues; Wildly Uncertain Forecasts!

ENSO is in neutral phase as mid-year approaches. The outlook for later this year is uncertain. In fact, the latest NCEP CFS V2 Nino34 SSTA forecast reveals a range of ENSO phase possibilities ranging from strong El Nino to strong La Nina or continuation of neutral phase for the last third of 2025.

05/27/2025, 5:32 am EDT

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05/27/2025, 5:32 am EDT

Negative Scandinavia Index Pattern Develops; Cools/Soaks North/Central Europe

Over the weekend, GFS indicated potential for an emerging chilly trough across Northwest Eurasia in the 11-15-day period. Last night, ECM joined forces with GFS as forecast confidence increases dramatically. The negative phase of the Scandinavia Index supports the presence of the projected Northwest Eurasia trough by the operational models.

05/27/2025, 5:28 am EDT

Madden Julian Oscillation Influence to Increase

Operational models are indicating increased risk of anomalous wet weather across much of the Southern U.S. and Brazil during early-to-middle June. Support for the wetter tropical/subtropical weather is increasing as forecasts of the convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) are trending stronger east of the Dateline in the tropics to the American longitudes (phase_7 and phase_8).

05/23/2025, 9:12 am EDT

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05/23/2025, 9:12 am EDT

Watching The Gulf of Mexico for Early Season TC Risk

An upper trough located in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico spawning a massive amount of rain across the Gulf of Mexico affecting the coastal region. A careful watch late in the period for any subtropical/tropical low-pressure development.