News
04/23/2025, 5:23 am EDT

Cold Risk Introduced to Australia Winter Outlooks

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast shifted much cooler for meteorological winter 2025 across Australia. The catalyst to the outlook is an evolving negative phase of the Indian Ocean dipole while neutral ENSO continues. The upper air features a persistent upper ridge across the warming waters west of Australia with a compensating semi-permanent chilly trough over Australia.
04/22/2025, 6:01 am EDT

North Atlantic SSTA Much Cooler Than 1 Year Ago

The current SSTA pattern across the North Atlantic basin is somewhat cooler than one year ago. The current North Atlantic basin SSTA is +0.25C which is close to +1 St Dev compared to +0.79C one year ago which is >+3 St Dev. The main development region (MDR) is the center of the cooler SSTA change and right now, is almost exactly at normal for late April. The Caribbean Sea marine heatwave has weakened.
04/21/2025, 9:19 am EDT

Madden Julian Oscillation Reactivates

During Q4/2024 and Q1/2025 the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) was active. Another weak-to-moderate wave of the convection phase of MJO is forecast into the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean over the next 2 weeks.
04/20/2025, 7:05 am EDT

Another Cool Wave Toward Ukraine/Black Sea Region Next Weekend

Through the next 5 days, the Black Sea region including Ukraine is exceptionally warm although flipping much cooler as a cold front arrives during the 6-10-day period when the 32F<0C line shifts south almost reaching Ukraine and Southwest Russia crop areas.