February 2025 - Page 9 of 9 - Climate Impact Company

News

02/02/2025, 12:41 pm EST

AI Graph Cast ECM ENS Becoming No. 1 Performing Model across North America in Medium-range

In the 11-15-day period, AI Graph Cast ECM ENS is competitive with ECM ENS with a significant jump in skill score to defeat ECM ENS during the past 7 days. Once again, AIFS skill scores are middle of the road and GFS ranks last.

02/02/2025, 11:43 am EST

The Ongoing Drought Risk in Brazil and Argentina

Ongoing drought risk across Argentina and Brazil as mid-meteorological summer 2024-25 has passed remains intense. Forecast models have generally been over-forecasting rainfall, especially in Brazil. During January, anomalous heat dominated Argentina. Despite periodic rainfall, mid-summer heat accelerates drying soils.

02/02/2025, 9:44 am EST

Subsurface Moderately Cold in Equatorial East Pacific as La Nina Likely to Linger well into NH Spring

Since 1979 the subsurface equatorial Pacific Ocean to the east of the Dateline has produced peak subsurface cool signatures during La Nina, most dramatically during late last century with more frequent but less intense peak subsurface cool signatures during La Nina in this century. The JAN-25 subsurface cool anomaly was -1.32 and the coolest monthly signature from the 2024-25 cold ENSO episode.