News
01/18/2025, 7:24 am EST

Update On the Incoming Arctic Air Outbreak for U.S.

As the weekend begins, a plethora of weather watch, warnings, and advisories are issued with many more ahead into early next week. Currently, an Extreme Cold Warning is issued for the northern Great Plains. In the warning area, temperatures routinely collapse to -20F (or colder) with wind chills of -40F (or colder) by Monday morning. A Cold Weather Advisory is issued into the central Great Plains, certain to expand southward later today.
01/16/2025, 8:47 am EST

Great Lakes Ice Forming and Will Expand Rapidly

Great Lakes ice is emerging and should spread rapidly given the long duration cold pattern ahead. Open water moderates arctic air. However, once ice is sufficiently expansive the moderating effects cease.
01/16/2025, 8:38 am EST

Madden Julian Oscillation Eastward Shift Should Break East U.S. Cold

The MJO shift through the eastern Indian Ocean tropics to north of Australia and West Pacific tropics is indicated by the MJO 115-day forecast phase_3, phase_4, and phase_5. When MJO enters the phases listed during mid-winter a milder Pacific maritime influence is generated on U.S. climate.
01/15/2025, 11:26 am EST

New Marine Heat Wave Influencing South America Climate

West of Chile a new and potent marine heatwave (MHW) has formed. The northeastern South Pacific MHW is intensifying rapidly. A long-standing MHW in the Caribbean Sea remains impressive. Aloft, each MHW has an influence on the upper air pattern. The new MHW off the Chilean Coast is well-correlated to an amplified high-pressure area forecast by AIFS through the next 15 days. High pressure also rests over the warm Caribbean Sea.