News
11/18/2024, 5:40 am EST

MJO-inspired Drier Brazil Climate into Middle December

Expected is a drier climate bias across South America due to emergence of Madden Julian oscillation in the tropical Indican Ocean/Maritime Continent over the next 2-3 weeks. The drier bias is underway during the past week centered on Paraguay, Northern Argentina, and Southeast Brazil. In South America, drought conditions continue across many sectors.
11/17/2024, 10:09 am EST

Big Storms Ahead in U.S., Especially for the West Coast

A stormy weather pattern develops on the West Coast this week. Heaviest precipitation is on the Northwest Coast early this week shifting the California Coast late this week/weekend. ECM ENS maintains the stormy pattern across California next week.
11/17/2024, 6:52 am EST

The Inevitability of a Northeast U.S. Drought Caused by the North Atlantic Warm Hole Upper Air Pattern

Red Flag Warnings issued due to high fire risk are relatively rare for the northern Mid-Atlantic to southern New England States. However, warnings for high fire risk have been common during late meteorological autumn across this region as historical drought has developed. The powerful atmospheric subsidence to produce the drought is related to the recent evolution of an upper air pattern caused by the North Atlantic Warm Hole.