News
10/11/2024, 8:26 am EDT

ECM and AIFS Indicate Heavy Rain Ahead Southeast Australia

Both ECM and AIFS agree that heavy rain evolves across Southeast Australia in the 10-day rainfall forecast. The bulk of the rain is in the 6-10-day period. During that time, a low-pressure area moves southwest to northeast across New South Wales focusing heavy rain along and south of the track.
10/10/2024, 12:49 pm EDT

North Atlantic Tropical Season Gaining Storms Fast; Very Warm Oceans Helping

The 2024 tropical cyclone season has certainly seen a destructive uptick in recent weeks. Seasonal totals are now above normal, most notably with the number of hurricanes and the rapidly increasing accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index. The North Atlantic basin including the Gulf of Mexico remains considerably warmer than normal supporting an active season as predicted by most forecasters earlier this summer.
10/10/2024, 4:45 am EDT

Great Plains Dry Pattern Continues as Drought Worsens

The U.S. AG Belt remains arid most vividly displayed by the 14-day percent of normal rainfall analysis. The daily soil moisture anomaly analysis reveals the strengthening Great Plains drought. All models remain very dry in the 15-day outlooks with the exception of the GFS offering patchy wet weather in the medium range.