News
10/11/2024, 8:26 am EDT

ECM and AIFS Indicate Heavy Rain Ahead Southeast Australia

Both ECM and AIFS agree that heavy rain evolves across Southeast Australia in the 10-day rainfall forecast. The bulk of the rain is in the 6-10-day period. During that time, a low-pressure area moves southwest to northeast across New South Wales focusing heavy rain along and south of the track.
10/10/2024, 4:45 am EDT

Great Plains Dry Pattern Continues as Drought Worsens

The U.S. AG Belt remains arid most vividly displayed by the 14-day percent of normal rainfall analysis. The daily soil moisture anomaly analysis reveals the strengthening Great Plains drought. All models remain very dry in the 15-day outlooks with the exception of the GFS offering patchy wet weather in the medium range.
10/10/2024, 4:33 am EDT

Southwest Europe and Black Sea Heavy Rains

In the latest (GFS) 15-day outlook, wet weather consolidates in Southwest Europe with a new wet zone emerging across the Black Sea region. The GFS indicates potential for excessive rainfall along the coastal portions of the Black Sea. However, limited rainfall reaches parched Southwest Russia. The GFS is the wettest of the operational models for both regions.
10/09/2024, 5:51 am EDT

Catastrophic Category-5 Major Hurricane Milton Heading for Tampa Area Making Landfall Tonight

At 5AM EDT, Category-5 Major Hurricane Milton was located at 24.5N/85.4W or about 300 miles southwest of Tampa, FL. Milton is moving northeast at 14 mph with top wind near 160 mph. Central pressure is 907 MB. Milton has maintained category-5 intensity longer than expected. The southwest flow aloft is moving Milton northeastward. However, the hurricane is concentric so weakening effects of shear on the hurricane have not started.