News
08/28/2024, 5:15 am EDT
08/28/2024, 5:15 am EDT

Strengthening MJO/SOI Causal to Sudden La Nina Trend

The persistent +SOI, enhanced by MJO, is causing eastern equatorial Pacific trade winds to increase. Subsurface cool waters in the equatorial Pacific are beginning to up-well to the surface. The Nino34 SSTA is now -0.13C after dropping 0.27C during the past 7 days.
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08/28/2024, 5:07 am EDT
08/28/2024, 5:07 am EDT

Expanding Europe Heatwave

The southeast quadrant of Europe to Southwest Russia has averaged 3-6C warmer than normal during the past week with attendant widespread dryness. The latest 15-day forecasts widen the anomalous heat and dryness in Europe to Western Russia!
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08/27/2024, 2:34 pm EDT
08/27/2024, 2:34 pm EDT

Indian Ocean Dipole Shifts Negative, Albeit Weak

Currently, the Indian Ocean dipole is in weak positive phase. The western basin is 0.32C warmer than the eastern basin identifying the +IOD regime. The IOD trend of recent weeks is to drift into the weak positive phase. The IOD forecast was a shift into the negative phase for the last third of 2024. Due to the recent rewarming of the western tropical North Atlantic, the -IOD forecast remains, but is generally weaker and not all models project -IOD.
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