News
07/09/2024, 8:00 am EDT

The Influence of SST on Beryl

Beryl’s response to the anomalous warm SST during the early July trek was notable. First, Beryl became a hurricane once SST warmed to 84F in the central North Atlantic tropics. The earliest hurricane on record for this location was born as SST was much above the usual (for July 1) 81-82F SST for this region.
07/08/2024, 3:56 pm EDT

June 2024 Trend Upper 100 Meters Equatorial Global Oceans

ECMWF identifies significant changes in the upper 100 meters of each ocean basin during June 2024. Equatorial Indian Ocean upper ocean heat change supportive of -IOD ahead? Equatorial Pacific upper ocean heat trend indicates no hurry for La Nina development. Record warm equatorial Atlantic upper ocean heat fades.
07/07/2024, 8:23 am EDT

Will Beryl Reach Minimal Category-2 Hurricane Strength at Landfall?

Although initialized 5-6 MB too strong, the HWRF model indicates potential for Beryl to intensify last minute to a minimal category-2 hurricane at landfall around dawn tomorrow morning on the central Texas Coast. The environment just off the Texas coast features little or no upper wind shear and a warm 30C ocean surface to warrant the rapid intensification.
07/05/2024, 5:07 am EDT

Southeast Europe to Southwest Russia Heat Alert!

Heatwave conditions are likely to continue for Southwest Russia, the Black Sea region, and Southeast Europe. A dry regime is included in this hot zone. The hot weather is an extension to record heat of this week extending across Western Russia where many records were broken.