News
07/24/2024, 7:52 pm EDT

Ocean Temperature Big Contributor to Globe’s Hottest Days on Record

ECMWF reported back-to-back global record hot days (Fig. 1) earlier this week (July 21-22). The climatology used extends back to 1940. On Sunday, July 21, the global temperature reached a record 17.09C and was broken the following day at 17.15C. The previous record was observed in early July of last year.
07/24/2024, 6:10 am EDT

Dangerous U.S. Heatwave is Ahead!

The U.S. population weight CDD forecast explodes to well above normal August 2-8. The GFS is the hottest model, but all ensembles are trending hotter. Contributing to the increasing CDD during early August are hotter forecasts in the PJM-East sector.
07/23/2024, 4:31 pm EDT

Southeast Great Plains Drought Risk

Deep layer soil moisture deficits are generally the result of a long-term dry climate pattern. When long duration (7-10 days) hot and dry weather moves across these regions, quick evolving (flash) drought can generate. These conditions are possible in the southeast Great Plains including Eastern Kansas to Central Oklahoma during late JUL/early AUG.
07/22/2024, 3:05 pm EDT

Extreme Heat ALERT for Late July Great Plains!

The latest 12Z ECM and GFS 6-10-day temperature anomaly outlook is agreeable to developing extreme heat in the central Great Plains. High temperatures reach 100F-105F from the Dakotas to Oklahoma during the period. Using ECM, the peak day is day-10 which is July 31. The 12Z ECM ENS widens the impressive heatwave back into the West, still peaking in the Central U.S., and stretching to eastern North America.