July 2024 - Page 2 of 8 - Climate Impact Company

News

07/29/2024, 7:36 pm EDT

Subsurface Equatorial Pacific Is Cooling As La Nina Development Has Restarted

La Nina development stalled during the past 10 weeks or so as the subsurface cool waters required to ignite cold ENSO lost half their April intensity. However, during the past 7-10 days, cooling has resumed indicating La Nina development has returned. The Nino34 SSTA has cooled to -0.13C and appears to be trending toward the -0.50C La Nina threshold based on the 30-day change of -0.55C.

07/26/2024, 6:33 am EDT

Surprises! Possible TC East of New Jersey Monday? Cooler Looking U.S. 11-15-day Outlook?

Beginning yesterday, forecast models indicated potential evolution of a tropical system east of New Jersey. Water temperatures support tropical development (81-82F). Additionally, a very hot 11-15-day forecast from recent days is suddenly cooler into the Midwest according to GFS and AIFS.

07/25/2024, 8:57 am EDT

Buoyant Mid-Troposphere Relative Humidity Promises Busy Season Ahead in North Atlantic Tropics

While Saharan Dust has suppressed tropical cyclone activity for much of July, the mid-troposphere is quite wet and supports a buoyant tropical cyclone season ahead once the Saharan Dust issue eases likely by the middle third of August.

07/24/2024, 6:10 am EDT

Dangerous U.S. Heatwave is Ahead!

The U.S. population weight CDD forecast explodes to well above normal August 2-8. The GFS is the hottest model, but all ensembles are trending hotter. Contributing to the increasing CDD during early August are hotter forecasts in the PJM-East sector.