News
03/13/2024, 3:51 am EDT

March 2024 Global Soil Moisture 3-Month Observation Trend and Forecast

During meteorological winter, the northern hemisphere received mostly a wetter soil moisture signature largely due to the influence of El Nino. In the U.S., most of the western half of the U.S. observed a wet soil moisture trend. Similarly, the U.S. East Coast trend was wetter particularly in the Northeast Corridor. The drier tendency in the Midwest continued.
03/13/2024, 3:49 am EDT

March 2024 Marine Heatwave/ENSO Discussion and Outlook

Using a different approach to analog ENSO phase for 2024, Climate Impact Company takes a look at the peak ocean heat east of the Dateline late in the year of the ongoing El Nino compared to the loss of upper ocean heat as El Nino weakens the following February.
03/11/2024, 9:22 am EDT

Searing Heat Beneath Subtropical Ridge in Brazil/Paraguay

The convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is located over the Maritime Continent and increasing intensity. The influence on South America climate when MJO is in phase_4 is dryness across Brazil. The latest ECM ENS 15-day upper air forecast indicates the subtropical ridge is parked over Southeast Brazil, strongest over the next 15 days.
03/08/2024, 1:53 pm EST

Warmest U.S. Winter on Record!

The meteorological winter 2023-24 was the warmest on record (Fig. 3). This observation is made more impressive given that there was one arctic outbreak during mid-winter. Warmer than normal mid-latitude SSTA contributed to the already mild bias caused by El Nino. Record warmth was observed in 8 states: North Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire.