12/05/2022, 5:17 am EST
During November 2022, the wet monsoon arrived early and soaked Northern Australia. The focus of a wet climate across the North subtracted wet risk from the central East Coast where a surprisingly dry regime was observed.
12/04/2022, 4:49 pm EST
Medium-range forecasts are trending warmer across North America and especially the U.S. The catalyst to this warmer trend is a cold stratosphere over the polar region stretching south across Canada as indicated by the GFS in 5 days. As a review, the cooling and constricting stratosphere is compensated for by the warming troposphere below. Consequently, the upper-level pattern in the troposphere creating our weather is less able to produce cold air and arctic air generation is cutoff. Arctic air already present will retreat to deep snow cover.
12/04/2022, 4:46 pm EST
At midday, forecast models indicated a negative phase North Atlantic oscillation inspire upper trough shifted farther east and over Western Europe causing a colder 15-day forecast change and igniting a Southwest Europe to Southwest/West Russia storm track.
12/01/2022, 12:50 pm EST
The seasonal totals of tropical cyclone activity for the North Atlantic basin during the 2022 season was 14 tropical storms, 8 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. The accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index was 95.1. The observed totals are very close to normal while ACE index was 78% of normal.