La Nina 2020-22 is likely to produce a 3rd peak in November followed by a steady demise in early 2023. Most analog and dynamic model forecasts agree with this scenario. Neutral ENSO evolves by FEB/MAR 2023 and El Nino may follow for the second half of 2023. If El Nino generates later in 2023, a much different climate pattern emerges. Included wet risk for the Southern U.S. and northern Argentina/southern Brazil and a dry climate for India, Southeast Asia, Indonesia, and Australia.

Slowly, the European Drought is easing. During the late warm season areas of beneficial rainfall have developed. More recently, rainfall occurred in the proper area to cause water levels of the Rhine River to increase dramatically and out of critically low levels.