News
05/12/2025, 9:16 am EDT
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A Look At Australia Bureau of Meteorology JUN/JUL/AUG 2025 Global SSTA Forecast

The latest JUN/JUL/AUG 2025 global SSTA forecast from the Australia Bureau of Meteorology reveals neutral ENSO with slight warming of the Nino SSTA regions, the beginnings of negative phase Indian Ocean dipole (-IOD), and a summertime North Atlantic basin which is warmer than normal although not nearly as warm as recent years.
05/12/2025, 5:17 am EDT
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Early Season ERCOT Heatwave!

Subsidence on the back side of an East Coast trough causes the onset of an excessive hot weather pattern across Texas on Tuesday. The hottest day of an extended heatwave is Wednesday when southwest flow extending across Texas from the hot air source region across the Mexico drought area occurs. Widespread 100’s are likely on Wednesday. The hot southwest flow peaks Wednesday although likely remaining through the 10-day heat wave.
05/11/2025, 3:49 pm EDT
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Extended Range ENSO and IOD Forecast

The oceanic ENSO projection favors the possibility of El Nino late this year while the atmospheric ENSO forecast is neutral phase. Dynamic models favor neutral ENSO phase although tilted toward La Nina returning if any deviation. Analog and dynamic models are, at least a little, disagreeable.
05/09/2025, 6:30 am EDT
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The Power of Marine Heatwaves on Australia Climate

The primary culprit to the extreme heat observed across much of Australia during the past 3 months is the enhancing influence on subtropical upper-level high-pressure ridging stretching from southeast of New Zealand to Southern Australia by the presence of MHW’s.