News
01/06/2025, 2:55 pm EST

Midday 12Z GFS Forecast A 963 MB Low Southeast of Nantucket Saturday

The 12Z GFS projects an evolving storm later this week in the northwest Gulf of Mexico region to travel northeastward and intensify south and southeast of New England by Saturday morning. At that time, the 12Z GFS forecasts a 963 MB low pressure area.
01/06/2025, 2:49 pm EST

La Nina BUT Many Ongoing Caveats

During DEC-24, the equatorial Pacific Ocean to the east of the Dateline produced a sharp drop in upper ocean heat. The observation is by far the coolest of 2024, a year when La Nina has struggled to develop. The dramatic subsurface cooling coupled with increased trade winds helped the Nino34 SSTA surge to a moderate-strength La Nina-like value of -1.1C Christmas Week. However, since that time waters have warmed slightly.
01/05/2025, 4:08 pm EST

Ongoing Southeast Australia Bushfires Receive Some Short-term (Only) Minor (Rain) Relief

The Southeast Coastal Region of Australia was very dry in both DEC-24 and OCT/NOV/DEC-24. Otherwise, precipitation has averaged above normal to excessively wet across many parts of the continent during that time. Helping to aggravate the Coastal Southeast Drought is anomalous warmth during Q4/2024 which became somewhat hotter than normal for East-central and Southeast Australia during DEC-24. The anomalous heat accelerated the drying of soil. Consequently, a massive bushfire regime has developed from Victoria to New South Wales.