January 2025 - Page 2 of 10 - Climate Impact Company

News

01/28/2025, 8:55 am EST

La Nina Strengthens in January; Latest CFS V2 Nino34 Outlook

The latest Nino34 SSTA forecasts from the CFS V2 model confidently project moderate La Nina to finish northern hemisphere meteorological winter followed by weakening to neutral ENSO mid-year. The latest 8 ensemble members of CFS V2 forecast indicate a wide variety of ENSO phase possibilities by OCT-25 which identifies a low confidence projection.

01/28/2025, 8:45 am EST

Madden Julian Oscillation on the Move; Warms U.S.

The convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is forecast to shift eastward from Maritime Continent in early February (phase_4) toward the Dateline as middle third of February arrives (phase_6). The MJO projection across the locations identified favor a warming (Pacific maritime) influence on U.S. climate.

01/27/2025, 11:07 am EST

South America 15-Day AI Vs. Dynamic Model Rainfall Forecast

Brazil rainfall forecasts by all operational models have been notoriously too wet during the summer season. However, support for a wet 15-day outlook across much of Brazil has synoptic scale weather support and seems reasonable. The AI Graph Cast ECM ENS which has been competitive with GFS and ECM is somewhat drier.

01/27/2025, 5:52 am EST

Heavy Rain and Severe Storms Mid-south States WED/THU

On Wednesday, heavy rain with severe thunderstorms will develop across Texas. By Thursday, excessive rain including a severe weather threat affects the Mid-south U.S. NOAA/WPC indicates potential for several (or more) inches of rain with flood risk.