December 2024 - Climate Impact Company

News

12/30/2024, 4:28 am EST

January 2025 Adjusted Colder in the East U.S.

The cold burst into the East during the first half of January biases the previous January 2025 temperature anomaly outlook slightly colder in the East and the adjustment is indicated above. A La Nina climate is developing and should bias the East U.S. warmer in February while cold risk shifts to the northwest quadrant of the U.S.

12/29/2024, 10:13 am EST

The Colder/Snowier Shift in Europe into Mid-winter

Upper trough settles on Western Europe. A colder pattern develops across most of Europe. The storm track stretches from Spain to Southeast Europe and Southwest Russia. As cold air increases, the storm track begins to produce snowfall. The snow cover will expand across much of Europe enhancing the incoming cold.

12/29/2024, 10:02 am EST

U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Forecasts Trending Colder/Longer Duration

The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast certainly identifies the increasing heating demand. Utilizing all models, the HDD forecast consensus through mid-January is colder than yesterday and trend colder for the second half of January into early February according to CFS V2/ECM consensus. The longer duration cold will occur if snow cover expansion is sustained late in January.

12/27/2024, 7:22 am EST

Forecast Change: Models See Arctic Air Western Canada Days 6-10; Ejected Eastward Days 8-14/11-15!

Overnight, the U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast for Jan. 3-9 was revised colder by ALL models (except GFS). During Jan. 10-16, U.S. heating demand settles to the 30-year normal. The extended range HDD forecasts for the second half of January are near to below normal. Consequently, Jan. 3-9 is the coldest week of mid-winter.