News
09/17/2024, 4:56 am EDT

Surprise…ENSO Forecast Tilts Toward Stronger La Nina Ahead

The Nino34 SSTA is trending toward the La Nina threshold and subsurface waters of the central/eastern equatorial Pacific are cooling foreshadowing a stronger La Nina ahead as agreed upon by most dynamic ENSO forecast models and Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts.
09/16/2024, 5:43 am EDT

Potential Tropical Cyclone 8 Moves Inland This Evening

At 5AM EDT Potential Tropical Cyclone 8 was located at 32.4N/78.3W or about 95 miles east-southeast of Charleston, SC. This system is moving northwest at 3 mph with top wind near 50 mph and central pressure 1006 MB. A large mass of heavy thunderstorms is north and east of a low-pressure area off the Carolina Coast. NOAA/NHC claims the low-pressure area is struggling to gain subtropical or tropical storm characteristics.
09/13/2024, 11:55 am EDT

Below Normal Tropical Cyclone Activity for Both North Pacific and North Atlantic

The below normal activity in each basin is unusual. The reasons for the below normal activity are under review. In the Northwest Pacific, high-level above normal westerly wind shear across the tropics has limited hurricane development while stronger than normal low-level trade winds have suppressed activity in the deep tropics of the Northeast Pacific and North Atlantic.