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04/14/2021, 7:23 pm EDT
04/14/2021, 7:23 pm EDT

July 2021 forecast roars to 400 CDD. Third hottest past 20 years.

In today’s updated summer 2021 outlook the temperature trend was much warmer and the CDD forecasts show that change particularly in July and August. The July forecast roared from 374 to 400 CDD while August surged from 322 to 340 CDD.
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04/14/2021, 10:45 am EDT
04/14/2021, 10:45 am EDT

U.S. Summer 2021 Outlook/Climate Discussion

The outlook is very similar to previous outlooks projecting a hotter than normal summer season for the Southwest to Central and Northeast U.S. The Great Plains gain a dry climate pattern and widening drought is increasingly likely. The wet zone is across the East and Southeast U.S. Land-falling hurricanes contribute to the wet forecast in September.
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04/12/2021, 1:42 pm EDT
04/12/2021, 1:42 pm EDT

Still A Question Mark…ENSO Pattern Later This Year

La Nina 2020-21 is barely hanging on as the Nino34 SSTA is right at the La Nina threshold of -0.5C. Other Nino SSTA regions are similar. Neutral ENSO is expected the next 1-3 months and possibly through meteorological summertime. However, there remains a great debate on whether La Nina returns.
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04/08/2021, 7:54 pm EDT
04/08/2021, 7:54 pm EDT

Daily Feature: March and Q1/2021 U.S. Temperature/Precipitation Rankings

March 2021 was another warm month ranking 14th warmest in the 1895-2021 climatology. The North-central U.S. ranked in the “much above” normal category while the remainder of the U.S. (except the Great Basin, California and the Southwest) were warmer than normal. North Dakota came close to a record warm March.
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