09/19/2019, 5:00 am EDT

The Activeness of North Atlantic TC seasons Versus AMO Cycle

A leading contributor to the increased activenes of the North Atlantic basin seasonal tropical cyclone actvity ove rthe past 20 years has been the warming of the North Atlantic basin caused by the warm phase of the Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation.
09/16/2019, 12:02 pm EDT

ENSO In Neutral Phase; A La Nina Trend

The equatorial East Pacific surface and subsurface is cooling steadily. The East-central to far eastern equatorial Pacific surface has cooled to below normal. The subsurface East Pacific equatorial region has also cooled. Neutral ENSO is in-place but the short-term trend is toward La Nina.
09/12/2019, 9:26 am EDT

Warm Phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation Fading

After a brief period of moderately intense warm phase of the Pacific decadal oscillation neutral phase has returned. During the past 2 decades the character of PDO has changed...weaker and shorter duration events where as previous patterns had a tendency to lock into warm or cool phase with intensity.