Latest News
10/15/2026, 10:13 am EDT
The NOAA/CPC Seasonal Drought Outlook indicates strengthening drought Interior Northwest while the 2026 severe drought extending from the Great Basin and Southwest U.S. to the Mid-south and Southeast States is (mostly) erased.
10/13/2026, 8:40 am EDT
The Climate Impact Company Nino34 analog forecast through FEB-28 reveals current observations are exceeding the historically most intense (Nino34) signatures. El Nino 2026-27 will be record intense, peaking during DEC-26. El Nino intensity steadily decreases during Q1/2027 shifting to neutral phase by MAY-27. The outlook projects weak La Nina to follow mid-to-late 2027.
10/09/2026, 6:27 am EDT
At 5AM EDT, Hurricane Isaias was located at 26.4N/88.0W or about 200 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Isaias is moving north-northeast at 15 mph with top wind near 110 mph. Isaias will become a major hurricane shortly.
10/08/2026, 6:00 am EDT
Overnight, Isaias gained intensity and is moving slightly faster. Morning weather satellite view reveals a concentric strong thunderstorm signature with additional heavy convection extending to the east plus a “tail” into the lower latitudes. This signature indicates additional intensification is likely. The upper shear is immense northwest and north of the hurricane. However, the upper shear is not directly affecting Isaias (yet).
10/06/2026, 12:12 pm EDT
Most striking regarding the latest ECMWF “monthlies” DEC/JAN/FEB 2026-27 climate outlook across North America are the “atmospheric rivers” projected into California and the Southeast/East U.S. Coast and the exceptionally mild Canadian climate which will keep the Northern U.S. without snow cover much of the winter season. The Southern U.S. storm track can generate locally regional chilly air masses.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Dominant Subtropical High Pressure Causes Dangerous Heat First Half of November in Australia
Graph Cast forecasts dangerous dominant subtropical high pressure early to middle November which could cause over-achieving heat for much of Australia. In this scenario drought in the southwest and east portion of the continent worsens.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Central/Northern Brazil Drought Concerns; Most Major Crop Areas Not Affected
During the past 7 days, heavy rain was centered on Paraguay and much of Argentina. Southeast Brazil was (also) wet. Central and East Brazil have been dry. Daily soil moisture analysis reveals the effectiveness of the Southern Brazil and Argentina rains as soil moisture shifts wetter.