Latest News
07/19/2026, 2:02 pm EDT
Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is in a favorable location to produce abundant convective rains in the U.S. The NOAA/WPC 5-day quantitative precipitation forecast identifies the excessive rainfall associated with T.D. 2 in the Northeast Gulf, East Coast heavy rains, and a wet Southwest U.S. monsoon pattern.
07/17/2026, 1:47 pm EDT
1997 and 2015 produced rapidly strengthening intense El Nino climate patterns. In the U.S., the temperature bias during August is cool across most of the eastern half of the U.S. while dryness dominates the Gulf States and Mid-Atlantic region. The 2015 El Nino weights twice due to the much warmer global oceans compared to 1997. In 2026, global oceans are much warmer than 2015 lending a warm bias to the cool analog.
07/16/2026, 4:34 am EDT
Relative Nino34 SSTA forecasts using the NOAA CFS V2, ECMWF, and POAMA outlooks each indicate a record strength El Nino for later this year easily surpassing the R-N34 SSTA of +2.41 observed in November 2015.
07/15/2026, 4:33 am EDT
Titanic high pressure spawns record warmth through the next 7 days centered on Paraguay where temperature anomalies for the period exceed +20F! Meanwhile either side of the high-pressure ridge finds significant rainfall in Northeast Brazil and Southeast Brazil, south of coffee areas.
07/13/2026, 6:21 am EDT
AG Market Early Alert: Europe heat this week, abates next week, but additional heat for late summer.
The latest Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts of temperature and precipitation anomalies during August favor hot and dry climate affecting most of Europe. Although still hot, periods of thundershowers are likely in France. A wet bias develops on South-coastal Europe. The hot/dry bias for Western Europe early-to-middle summer shifts eastward in August.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Hot/Dry Weather Regenerates Eastern Europe/Western Russia in August
A temporary cooler pattern across Europe ahead while Western Russia turns hotter. However, once August arrives, hot weather regenerates in Europe biased farther eastward this time around.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Historic Hot CDD Count for Summer 2026 in Europe
The projected bas 18C cooling degree days for London/Heathrow and Paris/Orly for meteorological summer 2026 is the hottest in the 1980-2026 climatology.