Latest News
01/31/2023, 4:22 pm EST
A much colder forecast as a vigorous upper trough across and to the east of the Black Sea region generates a chill that propels night temperatures into the 10-15F range at night in Ukraine and into Eastern Europe.
01/27/2023, 6:44 am EST
An exceptionally mild winter 2022-23 for New England but a brief period of arctic air visits later next week possibly for about 5 days. During that time Boston maximum temperatures could stay below freezing for up to 5 days including at least one night in the single digits.
01/26/2023, 8:18 am EST
The U.S. outlook to close January and through the first third of February is trending less cold. The primary reason is an increased westerly component aloft in the medium-range forecast easing the cross-polar flow of arctic air and increasing the milder Pacific influence on the U.S. thermal pattern. As a result, heating degree days forecasts are trending lower.
01/24/2023, 10:27 am EST
An impressive upper-level low-pressure trough rolls across Southern Europe the next week to 10 days delivering locally cold weather to Southwest Europe to France and gradually across much of Southern Europe. The upper trough combines with still unusually warm Mediterranean Sea SSTA to produce excessive rains across this region into early February extending to Southeast Europe.
01/21/2023, 9:17 am EST
Over the next 2-3 weeks a gradual expansion of snow cover for much of the northern half of the U.S. is expected. Meanwhile, stratospheric warming may shift from the Eurasian side of the North Pole to North America spawning arctic air. Forecast confidence is LOW for that part of the forecast. However, expanding snow cover will invite a cold February ahead.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Regional SSTA Report: Anomalous Warm Gulf of Mexico = Major East-central U.S. Precipitation Events!
A warmer than normal Gulf of Mexico implies low-level atmosphere moisture levels are abundant. When southerly flow from the Gulf interacts with mid-latitude storms heavy precipitation is likely centered on the East-central U.S. for late winter and into spring.
Climate Impact Company Climate Research
Explaining The “Atmospheric River” Evolution Into California
A very specific set of circumstances convened during late December 2022 and intensifying in early January 2023 to cause what eventually became an “atmospheric river” storm track targeting California for a 3-week period of excessive rainfall (over 50 in. for some locations) and 10’s of feet of snow across the Sierra Nevada.