Latest News
07/17/2026, 1:47 pm EDT
1997 and 2015 produced rapidly strengthening intense El Nino climate patterns. In the U.S., the temperature bias during August is cool across most of the eastern half of the U.S. while dryness dominates the Gulf States and Mid-Atlantic region. The 2015 El Nino weights twice due to the much warmer global oceans compared to 1997. In 2026, global oceans are much warmer than 2015 lending a warm bias to the cool analog.
07/16/2026, 4:34 am EDT
Relative Nino34 SSTA forecasts using the NOAA CFS V2, ECMWF, and POAMA outlooks each indicate a record strength El Nino for later this year easily surpassing the R-N34 SSTA of +2.41 observed in November 2015.
07/15/2026, 4:33 am EDT
Titanic high pressure spawns record warmth through the next 7 days centered on Paraguay where temperature anomalies for the period exceed +20F! Meanwhile either side of the high-pressure ridge finds significant rainfall in Northeast Brazil and Southeast Brazil, south of coffee areas.
07/13/2026, 6:21 am EDT
AG Market Early Alert: Europe heat this week, abates next week, but additional heat for late summer.
The latest Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts of temperature and precipitation anomalies during August favor hot and dry climate affecting most of Europe. Although still hot, periods of thundershowers are likely in France. A wet bias develops on South-coastal Europe. The hot/dry bias for Western Europe early-to-middle summer shifts eastward in August.
07/09/2026, 12:30 pm EDT
June 2026 ranked 28th warmest in the 132-year historical record. The anomalous warmth was motivated by MUCH ABOVE normal across the southwest quadrant of the U.S., Northeast Corridor Coast, and Florida. Only Montana was slightly cooler than normal. The ongoing intense marine heatwave off the southwest coast of North America continues to provide the warm temperature bias to the Southwest U.S. while a much warmer western North Atlantic basin helped the East Coast shift warmer.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Hot/Dry Weather Regenerates Eastern Europe/Western Russia in August
A temporary cooler pattern across Europe ahead while Western Russia turns hotter. However, once August arrives, hot weather regenerates in Europe biased farther eastward this time around.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Global Wind Oscillation Phase_7 Encourages -NAO Pattern To (Eventually) Cool East U.S./East Europe
A strong positive phase global atmospheric angular momentum combined with the convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation in the tropical East Pacific helps to force a semi-permanent global wind oscillation in phase_7. In this regime, there is a tendency to force negative North Atlantic oscillation. -NAO ahead forces an upper ridge near and southeast of Greenland with compensating upper troughs in northeast/east portions of North America and through Eastern Europe. Cooling results for Eastern Europe and eventually the Eastern U.S.