Latest News
03/01/2026, 6:40 am EST
During February, robust warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean subsurface was observed and supports an El Nino ahead climate signal. The last months when the entire equatorial Pacific subsurface were warmer than +1.0C was observed during April-June 2023 when Nino34 SSTA was +0.88C by June on the way to +1.99C by December. Multivariate ENSO index (MEI) shifted to an El Nino supporting +0.5 in June (2023) peaking at +1.1 in December.
02/26/2026, 12:09 pm EST
Prohibitive rain has drenched Central and South-central Australia in February. Parts of northeastern New south Wales and interior Western Australia were drier than normal.
02/25/2026, 8:15 am EST
Eastward shifting of the Madden Julian oscillation from north of Australia to The Dateline over the next 2 weeks is increasingly likely and with intensity which will promote expansion of the warm U.S. pattern eventually including the snowbound Northeast U.S. The Central/East-central U.S. turn wet!
02/23/2026, 5:25 am EST
Memory of the winter 2025-26 upper air pattern has featured a semi-permanent polar vortex over the Northeast U.S. Once again, another potent storm within that semi-permanent trough pattern today batters the Northeast U.S. as a blizzard.
02/22/2026, 1:26 pm EST
Focus is on the Northeast Corridor blizzard, the first widespread blizzard since January 2022. Blizzard Warnings extend from the Mid-Atlantic Coast to east and south portions of New England. The culprit is a coastal storm developing east-southeast of Norfolk, VA early this afternoon drifting slowly northeastward as a “bomb cyclone” with a central pressure near 970 MB south of Nantucket tomorrow at dawn.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
New Concern…Evolving (MJO-inspired) Heavy Rain/Severe Weather Pattern South-central U.S. Next Week
By mid-next week, heavy rain and possible severe weather will develop across Texas to Missouri. Once the Texas to Missouri rainfall is established middle of next week, MJO influence maintains the heavy rain pattern throughout the 8-14-day period. Included with that rainfall are additional severe storms.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Comparing U.S. and Europe Springtime Rainfall Forecasts
The U.S. meteorological spring 2026 precipitation anomaly forecast is wet biased across the Mid-south U.S. and vicinity stretching into parts of the East U.S. Above normal precipitation is (also) projected for the Great Basin. The Climate Impact Company constructed analog (CIC-CA) forecast is similarly wet across the Mid-south U.S. but drier in the Midwest U.S. Both forecasts are drier than normal on the U.S. West Coast.