Latest News
10/09/2026, 6:27 am EDT
At 5AM EDT, Hurricane Isaias was located at 26.4N/88.0W or about 200 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Isaias is moving north-northeast at 15 mph with top wind near 110 mph. Isaias will become a major hurricane shortly.
10/08/2026, 6:00 am EDT
Overnight, Isaias gained intensity and is moving slightly faster. Morning weather satellite view reveals a concentric strong thunderstorm signature with additional heavy convection extending to the east plus a “tail” into the lower latitudes. This signature indicates additional intensification is likely. The upper shear is immense northwest and north of the hurricane. However, the upper shear is not directly affecting Isaias (yet).
10/06/2026, 12:12 pm EDT
Most striking regarding the latest ECMWF “monthlies” DEC/JAN/FEB 2026-27 climate outlook across North America are the “atmospheric rivers” projected into California and the Southeast/East U.S. Coast and the exceptionally mild Canadian climate which will keep the Northern U.S. without snow cover much of the winter season. The Southern U.S. storm track can generate locally regional chilly air masses.
10/05/2026, 2:06 pm EDT
The upper ocean heat anomalies from September 2026 continued to warm to unprecedented levels. Anomalies are, by far, the strongest on record and identify the exceptional potential energy to fuel Super El Nino. The weekly SSTA observations in the Nino regions (also) convey the steady warming to record levels. The Nino12 SSTA region, off the northwest coast of South America, is at an unheard of +5.1C anomaly last week.
10/02/2026, 9:02 am EDT
A lot of inquiries during recent days on influence of marine heatwaves and their influence on regional climate. The big topic right now is Super El Nino. But! Increasingly, large areas of oceanic warming (and cooling) are having significant influences on regional climate. Let’s review where these warm (and cool) pools of ocean water are located and their regional influence on climate.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Is Strengthening
The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) positive phase has strengthened to near +1.00 which is a strong signature. +IOD is a dry climate signal for Australia. Meanwhile, Super El Nino 2026 intensity has levelled off with a daily Nino34 SSTA of +3.14. El Nino has a dry climate signal for Eastern Australia.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
-NAO But Effects Muddled Ahead
The ongoing campaign by Climate Impact Company to identify how mid-latitude oceanic warming affects historical understanding of climate signals continues. The most recent example is the +NAO to -NAO pattern change projection over the next 2-3 weeks.