Latest News
05/08/2026, 9:54 am EDT
For now, tropical forcing on the U.S. precipitation pattern is limited into early June suggesting that downplaying significant rainfall risk in the U.S. is the way to go which is concerning given 75% of the U.S. is in a dry-to-drought conditions as late meteorological spring approaches.
05/07/2026, 1:47 pm EDT
A U.S. pattern change featuring a wetter climate, mostly affecting the Southern States, is forecast by various probabilistic and dynamic models for later this month and early meteorological summer. Required to inspire a wetter pattern is persistent negative southern oscillation (SOI) or the onset and intensification of an El Nino climate.
05/05/2026, 9:24 am EDT
ECMWF broadens high pressure across the U.S. centered on the Great Plains later this month. Support from other models is favoring this solution although some AI models re-cool the East. The sensible weather is widespread anomalous warmth and increasing Great plains hot weather risk. The Southwest U.S. encounters early season clouds/thundershowers.
05/04/2026, 5:28 am EDT
The updated Climate Impact Company summer 2026 outlook indicates a hotter than normal summer season across much of the U.S., especially the Northwest to California and Gulf States while wet climate suppresses anomalous heat risk in the Midwest. Drought expands northwestward in the West and develops Mid-south to Texas later in the summer season.
04/30/2026, 12:17 pm EDT
During May, D2-D4 drought conditions develop in North Dakota and expand by 3-7% in South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma. The weeklies forecast for May indicate each state in the Great Plains is generally drier than normal with best chance of thundershowers later in the month when the pattern turns warmer than normal.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Global Soil Moisture Anomalies Observations and Trend
Currently, NOAA/CPC identifies major drought areas across the southeast quadrant of the U.S., developing across the West U.S., and Baltic Region in Europe (Fig. 1). A major drought across Brazil is eroding to summertime rains. Southern Europe to the Iran Conflict region shifted wetter during the first third of 2026. Indonesia to Central Australia shifted wetter although “sneaky” drought developed in East Australia.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
U.S. April 2026 Climate Report
During April 2026, the Ohio and Tennessee Valley to Virginia observed record warmth. Most of the U.S. was MUCH WARMER than normal. The exception was slightly cooler than normal in North Dakota. The April 2026 precipitation pattern featured record amount in Wisconsin and Michigan and VERY WET conditions in Iowa and Missouri. Conversely, The Southeast and Mid-Atlantic States were very dry with several states in the to-5 all-time driest.