Latest News
05/26/2026, 8:37 am EDT
Short-term heat spike centered on Southwest Europe lingers this week followed by a cooler/wetter Northern Europe pattern next week and suppressed heat risk in the Southwest. However, anomalous heat regenerates and broadens during the middle third of the month.
05/25/2026, 10:02 am EDT
The AI Graph Cast ECM ENS 15-day rainfall forecast is SCARY. The model locks extreme rain in the Gulf States and keeps the Midwest U.S. arid. Implied is an acceleration of the May drier North/wetter South pattern. Very warm to hot weather affecting much of the dry zone over the next 15 days helps to accelerate drying of soils.
05/22/2026, 8:44 am EDT
The 2026 East Pacific basin tropical cyclone season is forecast above too much above normal activity. A large mass of unusually warm surface and subsurface water is present off the Southwest Coast of North America and coupled with a developing vigorous El Nino should provide an environment exceptionally supportive of many dangerous storms.
05/19/2026, 8:49 am EDT
Combining GFS and ECM yields a heavy rain weather pattern evolving this week and extending into next week yielding 7+ inches of rain in East Texas to Southwest Arkansas and Northwest Louisiana. The forecast is made increasingly convincing by a potentially eastward shifting active Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) as forecast by GFS.
05/17/2026, 10:07 am EDT
The NEW relative SSTA analysis across the Pacific basin reveals neutral ENSO as measured within the Nino34 SSTA region. Conversely, the standard global SSTA analysis reveals moderate El Nino has formed. As of late April, multivariate ENSO index was -0.6, indicating a lingering La Nina climate.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
El Nino Year Major Hurricanes
While the number of hurricanes is diminished during El Nino, damaging hurricanes can still form. Famous moderate-to-strong El Nino year hurricanes include Category-4 Major Hurricane Idalia striking the Big Bend Region of Northwest Florida (2023), Category-4 Major Hurricane Lili striking the Southwest Louisiana Coast (2002), and Category-3 Major Hurricane Bob making 2 landfalls in Rhode Island (1991).
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Ocean and Soil Moisture Climate Guides for Early Summer in the U.S.
The next 2-3 days will feature an unusually windy, chilly, and rainy scenario across New England and particularly the coast fueled in part by the cold bias on the atmosphere by cooler than normal waters off the Northeast Coast provided by the Labrador Current extending southwestward from the North Atlantic Warm Hole (NAWH) south of Greenland.