Highlight: Upper shear in deep tropics beginning to ease. MJO pattern favorable to eject strong tropical waves into the eastern Atlantic. Low pressure areas develop over the Southeast and coastal Mid-Atlantic next week…close watch for possible offshore development. Fig. 1: Morning satellite view of the tropical North Atlantic. Discussion: The upper shear axis remains intact across the Caribbean Sea and northeastward toward the Canary Islands. The upper shear is WEAKENING. The ITCZ remains buoyant in the far eastern tropical Pacific and off the coast of West Africa. An area of thunderstorms has convened east of Jacksonville, FL this morning. The thunderstorm area is located over water surface water with light wind shear aloft. This system could gain tropical disturbance characteristics. Any future movement of this system is away from the coast. The Madden Julian oscillation remains favorable to eject strong tropical waves into the outer North Atlantic basin which could become tropical storms although early July is a little too early for this pattern to evolve. An unusual pattern is in the forecast for the Southeast U.S. and Mid-Atlantic States. Forecast models develop unusually strong low pressure systems over land that MIGHT try to exit the Southeast or Mid-Atlantic Coast late next week to gain tropical (or subtropical) organization. There may be two of these events. A wet pattern ahead in the Southeast beginning Sunday and later next week in the Mid-Atlantic States.