Latest News
07/30/2026, 5:03 am EDT
The U.S. population weight CDD forecast sizzles to a consensus forecast of 95 for the week of August 6-12. All models, except for CMC ENS, are agreeable. If so, August 6-12 will be the hottest week of summer 2026 across the U.S.
07/28/2026, 8:25 am EDT
Showers and thundershowers for the Western U.S. Corn Belt this week. However, combining GFS and ECM renders a hot and dry pattern in the medium range. In the 16-30-day period, the potential for widespread heat and dryness could persist according to GFS ENS, the number 1 model for this time period during the past 30 days.
07/25/2026, 6:54 am EDT
Another heatwave is developing for West and Central Europe. The extreme heat intensifies during late July/early August. Slowly, the heatwave shifts eastward and into Western Russia and the Black Sea region in August. Some relief follows for Western Europe (except Portugal/Span where heat is maintained).
07/23/2026, 4:06 am EDT
A dangerous late July/early August lengthy heatwave coupled with dry weather event is forecast for much of the Great Plains and Europe based on the latest ECMWF outlooks. Significant drought expansion and intensification will develop for both regions.
07/22/2026, 5:19 am EDT
Soil moisture anomalies analysis reveals a large dry-to-drought scenario across Europe. The core of the drought is in France and Western Romania. The 10-day rainfall anomaly outlook by ECMWF indicates widespread drier than normal conditions. Week 2-4 forecasts rebuild Central Europe heat intensifying drought.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
U.S. Pattern Features Both Excessive Heat and Heavy Rainfall
A wetter pattern is expected to develop during the next 15 days due to a Southwest U.S. wet monsoon moisture feed from 4-Corners arcing through the Missouri Valley and eastward. Graph Cast 15-day rainfall forecasts indicate heavy rain risk centered on the Missouri Valley and eastward throughout the Atlantic States. The 24-hour change highlights the wetter trend in the Midwest States while the Mid-south U.S. is drier and hot. Consequently, Midwest soil moisture increases while drought risk expands from Western Oklahoma eastward toward Arkansas and includes Northern Texas.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
The 2026 Seasonal Forecast Cut Lower – Again Due to Developing Super El Nino
Climate Impact Company has revised the 2026 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season activity forecast LOWER to 9 tropical storms, 3 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. The ACE index forecast is 50. The CIC forecast is similar with the Colorado State University downward revision. ECMWF rainfall probability forecasts indicate this year’s activity is heavily biased toward the subtropics with very limited deep tropics development. The outlook is revised lower due to the evolving super El Nino and the suppressing effects of El Nino on tropical cyclone development.