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04/13/2026, 12:01 pm EDT
Over the next few weeks, a climate pattern change featuring departing low pressure across Canada departing and being replaced by high pressure while low pressure tendency increases in the subtropical latitudes. The beginning of that pattern appears in the week 2-4 outlook. During the outlook, the U.S. loses the tendency for unusually warm weather and turns wetter while Canada shifts milder.
04/10/2026, 4:11 pm EDT
The outlook for week-2 ahead features heavy rain across much of Central Brazil to Northwest Argentina while Southeast Brazil is dry and hot. The wet weather moves into Northeast Brazil late month. In early May, Brazil shifts drier while wet weather regenerates in Argentina.
04/08/2026, 3:07 pm EDT
Semi-permanent high pressure associated with the record strength and intensifying marine heatwave (MHW) off the California and Baja California Coast maintains the record warmth across much of the West and Southwest U.S. during March. Near record warmth was observed across the Central and East U.S.
04/07/2026, 8:11 am EDT
The southeast quadrant of the U.S. daily soil moisture rankings observations reveals historically dry conditions. As the warm season approaches, large regions of dry soil have increasing risk of extreme heat which can worsen drought.
04/05/2026, 9:21 am EDT
Tropical forcing on the prevailing climate across North America increases during April. The Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) increases strength dramatically as the middle third of April arrives. The MJO shifts toward and across the Dateline during this time. In the extended range, ECMWF maintains the MJO intensity and indicates a progressive character shifting eastward through the tropical longitudes of the Americas to West Africa by early May.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Soaking Wet Soils Central/South Australia as Summer Ends
Summer 2025-26 produced a wet climate and soaking wet soils for central and southern continent where record wet conditions were observed. A drier pattern is indicated for the next few weeks. A climate shift into El Nino should promote a drier climate for next warm season.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Immense Subsurface Kelvin Wave East of Dateline Promises Intense El Nino Ahead in 2026
Neutral ENSO continues during early April as the Nino34 SSTA is unchanged at +0.2C. Last week, some warming was observed off the northwest coast of South America (Nino12). The subsurface upper ocean heat is MUCH warmer than normal and intensifying. The NEW Kelvin Wave features ocean temperatures 6-7C warmer than normal extending to just east of 150W and further eastward shifting is likely.