Latest News
02/20/2026, 5:24 am EST
Given the low-pressure forecasts, high wind is a major issue with the SUN/MON Northeast Coastal storm. Utilizing the aggressive GFS forecast, wind gusts in the 45-65 mph range should be expected Sunday evening on the Mid-Atlantic Coast extending inland to I-95. By late Monday morning, wind gusts approach hurricane force across southeastern Massachusetts. High wind and heavy snow combination could produce blizzard conditions.
02/19/2026, 9:16 am EST
The Scandinavia Index was negative during February and remains negative for the weekend. However, the -SCAND reverses to positive phase later next week causing the pattern to change from cold across the North and mild/stormy South so far in February to somewhat milder and drier for the southern half of Europe while cold eases in the North heading into March.
02/18/2026, 8:58 am EST
The latest U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast reveals a return to seasonably cold weather and near normal national heating demand next week. However, utilizing ECM, CFS, and 3 AI models, the week 4-5 HDD projections are generally quite warm.
02/17/2026, 8:36 am EST
The Australia outlook is prohibitively wet for most of the continent. AI models are utilized although dynamic models are agreeable to possible extreme rainfall centered on East-central to South-central Australia over the next 15 days. No change in the 16-20-day forecast as the wet regime continues.
02/16/2026, 11:58 am EST
The 7-day percent of normal rainfall observations identify the expected eastward shift of patchy rainfall across parts of Argentina and Brazil. This weekend and early next week, an upper trough spawns heavy rain in East Brazil as the forecast shifts much wetter.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
The Warming Nino12 SSTA Region Helps to Inspire Heavy Rain Ahead in Brazil
The rapid warming of the Nino12 SSTA region has caused a wet bias to western South America in recent weeks. However, the moisture from the warm water/high moisture source region is entrained into vigorous upper troughs moving across South America sweeping heavy rain into Brazil while leaving Argentina dry the next 1-2 weeks.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Aerial Coverage of Great Lakes Ice and FEB/MAR/APR Temperature
As of February 17th, the aerial coverage of ice across the Great Lakes is 47%. Since 2014, the current aerial coverage of Great Lakes ice is about average. When Great Lakes ice has been above average as observed during the 2013-14/2014-15 polar vortex winter seasons, FEB/MAR/APR climate across North America was biased colder than normal. When ice is at moderate levels similar with 2026, a cold bias during FEB/MAR/APR appears to the west of the Great Lakes region