Latest News
03/26/2025, 8:50 am EDT
An energetic storm track across the U.S. is trending stronger in overnight forecasts. Wetter conditions are projected in the AG regions including Mid-south U.S. severe weather and snowfall across the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, a long-term drought in the Black Sea region receives some beneficial rainfall in the medium range.
03/25/2025, 1:46 pm EDT
Daily soil moisture anomaly analysis from NOAA reveals a developing drought condition in Eastern China. Dry soils are developing in South Korea (where wildfires are burning) and Southern Japan. The developing drought is affecting mainly the eastern portion of wheat, soybean, and corn-growing areas.
03/24/2025, 8:20 am EDT
Rain is desperately needed in Brazil and the Black Sea region, two extremely important agricultural areas. Wet weather is in the forecast to finish March and begin April for both regions.
03/21/2025, 12:00 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company 2025 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season will maintain the 2016-24 active period. However, the 2025 forecast is slightly below the 2016-24 average activity except for the number of intense hurricanes. The forecast is slightly above the longer-term climatology.
03/20/2025, 8:05 am EDT
A wet pattern remains in the forecast for Australia into early April. Upper air forecasts feature a semi-persistent upper trough across northwest continent. The upper trough produces instability coupled with warm SSTA surrounding the continent a regime develops capable of producing widespread heavy and consistent rains across much of Australia.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
North/East Australia Excessive Rainfall!
While 11-15-day forecasts are disagreeable on whether the heavy rain pattern fades in Northeast/East Australia, the 10-day forecasts are confident. The ECM ENS indicates up to 12 inches of rain for Southwest Queensland in their latest 10-day outlook.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
No La Nina and Super-warm North Atlantic Tropics in 2025 Holds Seasonal Activity Back Slightly
The (recent) climate catalysts forcing unusually high amounts of hurricanes in the North Atlantic basin is the presence of La Nina climate (as defined by multivariate ENSO index) and very warm sea SSTA in the North Atlantic tropics (as defined by tropical North Atlantic index). These conditions were especially present during 2017 (10 hurricanes/6 major hurricanes), 2020 (13/6), and 2024 (11/5). A La Nina climate produces below normal wind shear aloft necessary across the North Atlantic tropics to allow abundant tropical cyclones to form and storm intensity increases due to the anomalous warm ocean.