Latest News
07/23/2026, 4:06 am EDT
A dangerous late July/early August lengthy heatwave coupled with dry weather event is forecast for much of the Great Plains and Europe based on the latest ECMWF outlooks. Significant drought expansion and intensification will develop for both regions.
07/22/2026, 5:19 am EDT
Soil moisture anomalies analysis reveals a large dry-to-drought scenario across Europe. The core of the drought is in France and Western Romania. The 10-day rainfall anomaly outlook by ECMWF indicates widespread drier than normal conditions. Week 2-4 forecasts rebuild Central Europe heat intensifying drought.
07/20/2026, 5:47 am EDT
A classic El Nino style climate pattern emerges in late July...excessive rainfall in Southeast Brazil while areas to the north are arid. Included is ongoing unusual warmth for central continent.
07/19/2026, 2:02 pm EDT
Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is in a favorable location to produce abundant convective rains in the U.S. The NOAA/WPC 5-day quantitative precipitation forecast identifies the excessive rainfall associated with T.D. 2 in the Northeast Gulf, East Coast heavy rains, and a wet Southwest U.S. monsoon pattern.
07/17/2026, 1:47 pm EDT
1997 and 2015 produced rapidly strengthening intense El Nino climate patterns. In the U.S., the temperature bias during August is cool across most of the eastern half of the U.S. while dryness dominates the Gulf States and Mid-Atlantic region. The 2015 El Nino weights twice due to the much warmer global oceans compared to 1997. In 2026, global oceans are much warmer than 2015 lending a warm bias to the cool analog.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Bertha Minimal Tropical Storm BUT Immense Thunderstorm Activity Texas Coast
At 5AM EDT, Tropical Storm Bertha was located at 29.0N/92.2W or about 95 miles southeast of Lake Charles, LA. Bertha is moving west at 13 mph with top wind near 45 mph and central pressure 1003 MB. Bertha has reformed off the central coast of Louisiana. However, all the action is in the southwest quadrant of the storm where extreme rain from intense thunderstorm activity is taking place.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Sharp Regional SSTA Patterns Guide The U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook
Leading into August, sharp regional SSTA conditions support a semi-permanent trough near and southwestward the North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH) and south-southeast from the Gulf of Alaska Cool Pool. Extending northeastward across the Southwest U.S. toward Hudson Bay from the immense marine heatwave (MHW) off the Southwest Coast of North America is a semi-permanent high-pressure ridge.