Latest News
04/15/2026, 12:54 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company Summer 2026 climate forecast indicates evolution of a major drought in Europe which extends to Southwest Russia. Accelerating the drought is increasing strength of anomalous heat. The forecast is based on developing strong El Nino, a prominent North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH), and emerging heatwaves in the Norwegian Sea and Mediterranean Sea.
04/14/2026, 9:39 am EDT
A strong westerly wind burst (WWB) in the Pacific Ocean tropics between 140E and 160E also located across warm sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and robust subsurface upper ocean heat helped spawn an early season unusually strong category-5 major typhoon (Sinlaku). The ingredients helping to ignite this early season intense storm to develop are shifting eastward and will ignite El Nino in May with rapid intensification likely to follow.
04/13/2026, 12:01 pm EDT
Over the next few weeks, a climate pattern change featuring departing low pressure across Canada departing and being replaced by high pressure while low pressure tendency increases in the subtropical latitudes. The beginning of that pattern appears in the week 2-4 outlook. During the outlook, the U.S. loses the tendency for unusually warm weather and turns wetter while Canada shifts milder.
04/10/2026, 4:11 pm EDT
The outlook for week-2 ahead features heavy rain across much of Central Brazil to Northwest Argentina while Southeast Brazil is dry and hot. The wet weather moves into Northeast Brazil late month. In early May, Brazil shifts drier while wet weather regenerates in Argentina.
04/08/2026, 3:07 pm EDT
Semi-permanent high pressure associated with the record strength and intensifying marine heatwave (MHW) off the California and Baja California Coast maintains the record warmth across much of the West and Southwest U.S. during March. Near record warmth was observed across the Central and East U.S.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Analogs Agreeable to Very Warm Northwest U.S. in June, Temperate to Cool East
The latest ECM and CFS V2 temperature analog forecasts for June are agreeable with hot risk in the Northwest/West U.S. and temperate eastward. The Climate Impact Company constructed analog has wider aerial coverage of the western warmth and a cooler East U.S. solution.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Brazil shifts drier; Hot Southeast Brazil.
MJO forcing causes a heavy rain scenario across Northern Argentina/Paraguay and Northeast Brazil the next 7-10 days. However, tropical involvement is diminished in the extended range as Brazil shifts much drier. Dry soils in Southeast Brazil increase the risk of steady late season anomalous heat.