Latest News
03/20/2026, 8:39 am EDT
The wetter pattern change begins to emerge in the 11-15-day period, has developed in the 16-20-day period, and expands in the 16-30-day period. The core of the heavier rain is unclear based on the latest CFS, ECM, and GC forecasts.
03/19/2026, 8:18 am EDT
The effect of the Middle East War on energy supply and prices increases the value of U.S. cooling degree day projections for the 2026 warm season. Provided is a monthly discussion of expectations and charts for each NOAA/EIA region of the U.S.
03/17/2026, 8:00 am EDT
The latest 15-day percent of normal rainfall forecast by ECM unloads heavy rain on Argentina. The wet forecast is supported, at least through the next 10 days, by an upper-level low-pressure trough off the Chilean Coast where SSTA continue much above normal adding to the risk of potential significant rainfall.
03/15/2026, 9:39 am EDT
About 75% of the U.S. is in a dry-to-drought soil moisture condition as meteorological spring arrives. Combining the month of February during 2000, 2012, and 2025 yields a similar Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) regime to FEB-26.
03/13/2026, 5:10 am EDT
The ECM ENS 15-day percent of normal rainfall forecast indicates an evolving storm track stretching across the Mediterranean Sea and reaching the Middle East. The wet weather pattern which also affects North Africa is supported by an elongated upper-level low-pressure trough.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
All Eyes on Re-Intensifying Narelle Next Week Possibly Turning Toward Northwest Australia Coast
Narelle will weaken moving across Northern Australia this weekend. However, HWRF has a re-intensifying tropical cyclone off the northwest coast next week likely to turn southward and stroke the West Coast of Australia later next week. At landfall, Narelle will be a powerful tropical cyclone.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
South America Season 1-4 Ahead Climate Forecast
An El Nino climate is projected to develop during the second half of 2026 and continue into early 2027 across South America. The Climate Impact Company constructed analog (CIC-CA) climate forecasts for the next 4 seasons are based on the evolution of an El Nino climate plus influences on climate from the tropical South Atlantic SSTA regime and tendency for strong marine heatwaves off each coast.







