Latest News
10/09/2026, 6:27 am EDT
At 5AM EDT, Hurricane Isaias was located at 26.4N/88.0W or about 200 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Isaias is moving north-northeast at 15 mph with top wind near 110 mph. Isaias will become a major hurricane shortly.
10/08/2026, 6:00 am EDT
Overnight, Isaias gained intensity and is moving slightly faster. Morning weather satellite view reveals a concentric strong thunderstorm signature with additional heavy convection extending to the east plus a “tail” into the lower latitudes. This signature indicates additional intensification is likely. The upper shear is immense northwest and north of the hurricane. However, the upper shear is not directly affecting Isaias (yet).
10/06/2026, 12:12 pm EDT
Most striking regarding the latest ECMWF “monthlies” DEC/JAN/FEB 2026-27 climate outlook across North America are the “atmospheric rivers” projected into California and the Southeast/East U.S. Coast and the exceptionally mild Canadian climate which will keep the Northern U.S. without snow cover much of the winter season. The Southern U.S. storm track can generate locally regional chilly air masses.
10/05/2026, 2:06 pm EDT
The upper ocean heat anomalies from September 2026 continued to warm to unprecedented levels. Anomalies are, by far, the strongest on record and identify the exceptional potential energy to fuel Super El Nino. The weekly SSTA observations in the Nino regions (also) convey the steady warming to record levels. The Nino12 SSTA region, off the northwest coast of South America, is at an unheard of +5.1C anomaly last week.
10/02/2026, 9:02 am EDT
A lot of inquiries during recent days on influence of marine heatwaves and their influence on regional climate. The big topic right now is Super El Nino. But! Increasingly, large areas of oceanic warming (and cooling) are having significant influences on regional climate. Let’s review where these warm (and cool) pools of ocean water are located and their regional influence on climate.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Excessive Rainfall Forecasts Due to Isaias and Rachel
Excessive rainfall and severe thunderstorms associated with the remains of inland-moving Isaias and Rachel are on display in the Southeast and West into early next week.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Potential -AO/-NAO Ahead; Operational Models Confused on That Potential
Right now, most operational models do not reflect their (-AO/-NAO) climate signals forecasts which is why traders/analysts are encouraged to watch trends rather than any single forecast. Many forecast models are cool East days 6-10 followed by an 11-15-day warm-up with the warmth extending to the 16-20-day period. The AO/NAO forecast (above), if consistent through tonight, suggests a cooler East U.S. extended range. To illustrate the low confidence forecast, note U.S. gas population weight HDD projections for Oct. 16-22 which depict one of the largest ranges in possibilities seen.