Latest News
03/15/2026, 9:39 am EDT
About 75% of the U.S. is in a dry-to-drought soil moisture condition as meteorological spring arrives. Combining the month of February during 2000, 2012, and 2025 yields a similar Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) regime to FEB-26.
03/13/2026, 5:10 am EDT
The ECM ENS 15-day percent of normal rainfall forecast indicates an evolving storm track stretching across the Mediterranean Sea and reaching the Middle East. The wet weather pattern which also affects North Africa is supported by an elongated upper-level low-pressure trough.
03/12/2026, 5:33 am EDT
A major high wind event extends from the Northern Rockies to the Midwest U.S. today and tonight featuring wind gusts above hurricane force in the northwest Great Plains today, near 70 mph Midwest tonight, and gusting 55-65 mph in the Ohio Valley midday tomorrow. A second storm brings wind gusts to 45-60 mph Sunday night across the Midwest and Ohio Valley shifting across the Northeast Corridor with severe storms on Monday.
03/11/2026, 4:44 am EDT
A combination of zonal flow in the 1-5-day and 11-15-day period and titanic Southwest U.S. high pressure ridging in the 6-10-day period leaves the west and southwest Great Plains without rain and increasingly very warm in the latest ECM 15-day forecast. Texas to Oklahoma shift wetter in the 16-30-day period while the western Great Plains stay dry and very warm. U.S. hard red winter wheat becomes a hot spot for drought development.
03/09/2026, 2:04 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company MAR-26 to FEB-28 ENSO phase forecast is based on a constructed analog utilizing upper ocean heat anomalies east of the Dateline, Nino34 SSTA, and southern oscillation index. The upper ocean heat in the eastern equatorial East Pacific became immense during February and is the leading indicator of El Nino risk ahead.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Major Severe Weather Outbreak East-Central U.S. Today; Atlantic States Tomorrow
Major severe weather outbreaks are forecast for today and tomorrow across the eastern third of the U.S. Today’s outbreak includes the East-central and Southeast U.S. Tornado risk is widespread and most focused on the Central Mississippi River Valley. On Monday, the severe weather event regenerates on the U.S. East Coast and features widespread high wind damage risk including tornado threat from South Carolina to Pennsylvania.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Are Marine Heatwaves Correlated to the Upper Air Pattern Causing Sensible Weather?
Two marine heatwaves (MHW) are located off the U.S. and Baja California West Coast. MHW NEP25A reached record aerial coverage last autumn although weaker now while MHW NEP25B formed late last year, persisted all winter, and strengthened. Meanwhile, the Gulf of Mexico SSTA is +1.35C ranking in the top 1% warmest (since 1982).