Latest News
10/08/2026, 6:00 am EDT
Overnight, Isaias gained intensity and is moving slightly faster. Morning weather satellite view reveals a concentric strong thunderstorm signature with additional heavy convection extending to the east plus a “tail” into the lower latitudes. This signature indicates additional intensification is likely. The upper shear is immense northwest and north of the hurricane. However, the upper shear is not directly affecting Isaias (yet).
10/06/2026, 12:12 pm EDT
Most striking regarding the latest ECMWF “monthlies” DEC/JAN/FEB 2026-27 climate outlook across North America are the “atmospheric rivers” projected into California and the Southeast/East U.S. Coast and the exceptionally mild Canadian climate which will keep the Northern U.S. without snow cover much of the winter season. The Southern U.S. storm track can generate locally regional chilly air masses.
10/05/2026, 2:06 pm EDT
The upper ocean heat anomalies from September 2026 continued to warm to unprecedented levels. Anomalies are, by far, the strongest on record and identify the exceptional potential energy to fuel Super El Nino. The weekly SSTA observations in the Nino regions (also) convey the steady warming to record levels. The Nino12 SSTA region, off the northwest coast of South America, is at an unheard of +5.1C anomaly last week.
10/02/2026, 9:02 am EDT
A lot of inquiries during recent days on influence of marine heatwaves and their influence on regional climate. The big topic right now is Super El Nino. But! Increasingly, large areas of oceanic warming (and cooling) are having significant influences on regional climate. Let’s review where these warm (and cool) pools of ocean water are located and their regional influence on climate.
09/29/2026, 8:40 am EDT
The Nino SSTA regions in the east-central and far east equatorial Pacific Ocean continue to warm. Currently, Nino34, Nino3, and Nino12 have shattered previous record warm SSTA produced by the Super El Nino episodes of 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Positive Arctic Oscillation = Polar Vortex Evolution
Standout climate signals for during and just beyond mid-month include the arctic oscillation which is moderate-to-strong positive and represents evolution of the polar vortex.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
October 2026 Global Soil Moisture Report
Global soil moisture anomalies analysis from September 2026 reveals many drought areas including Mexico into the Southern U.S., Northern Brazil, Central tropical Africa, Southern India, and parts of Indonesia plus the West and East Coast of Australia. The most prolific drought is in Europe. Northern Russia is (also) in a drought condition although easing during recent weeks.







