Latest News
07/15/2026, 4:33 am EDT
Titanic high pressure spawns record warmth through the next 7 days centered on Paraguay where temperature anomalies for the period exceed +20F! Meanwhile either side of the high-pressure ridge finds significant rainfall in Northeast Brazil and Southeast Brazil, south of coffee areas.
07/13/2026, 6:21 am EDT
AG Market Early Alert: Europe heat this week, abates next week, but additional heat for late summer.
The latest Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts of temperature and precipitation anomalies during August favor hot and dry climate affecting most of Europe. Although still hot, periods of thundershowers are likely in France. A wet bias develops on South-coastal Europe. The hot/dry bias for Western Europe early-to-middle summer shifts eastward in August.
07/09/2026, 12:30 pm EDT
June 2026 ranked 28th warmest in the 132-year historical record. The anomalous warmth was motivated by MUCH ABOVE normal across the southwest quadrant of the U.S., Northeast Corridor Coast, and Florida. Only Montana was slightly cooler than normal. The ongoing intense marine heatwave off the southwest coast of North America continues to provide the warm temperature bias to the Southwest U.S. while a much warmer western North Atlantic basin helped the East Coast shift warmer.
07/07/2026, 4:40 pm EDT
ECM “monthlies” maintain warmer than normal risk into the autumn season but due to El Nino influence begin a wet pattern across Southwest Europe next month likely to expand during autumn to help ease the drought.
07/05/2026, 11:20 am EDT
A cold front pushing into extreme heat was the catalyst for exceptionally violent severe weather outbreaks extending from the Ohio Valley to New York City on Friday and throughout the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday. NOAA/SPC tallied 1,602 severe weather events/reports for the 2 days.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Similar JUL-97 to JUL-26 El Nino Strength; But Different Mid-winter Climate Australia
Multivariate ENSO index (MEI) is accelerating into strong positive phase implying El Nino climate is strengthening. The rate of increasing intensity is close to the MAY/JUN/JUL 1997 signature, eventually leading to the strongest El Nino on record. Interestingly, JUL-97 was cold across much of Australia. The difference? Note the much cooler SSTA surrounding Australia during JUL-97 encouraging upper-level low pressure troughs to deliver chilly air. During middle 2026, marine heatwaves surround Australia encouraging milder high pressure.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Global Wind Oscillation Phase_7 Encourages -NAO Pattern To (Eventually) Cool East U.S./East Europe
A strong positive phase global atmospheric angular momentum combined with the convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation in the tropical East Pacific helps to force a semi-permanent global wind oscillation in phase_7. In this regime, there is a tendency to force negative North Atlantic oscillation. -NAO ahead forces an upper ridge near and southeast of Greenland with compensating upper troughs in northeast/east portions of North America and through Eastern Europe. Cooling results for Eastern Europe and eventually the Eastern U.S.