09/19/2023, 7:47 am EDT
A semi-permanent summertime high-pressure ridge in the vicinity of the New Zealand marine heatwave much of the past 10 years is likely to regenerate during summer 2023-24. Proposed is an added climate diagnostic supporting an anomalous dry and hot summer 2023-24 climate pattern across Australia causing a major drought.
09/18/2023, 5:12 am EDT
The latest 15-day upper air forecast for the southern hemisphere (by GFS) reveals an amplifying titanic upper-level high pressure ridge developing southwest of South America. Previously, the 2020-23 semi-permanent Amundsen Sea upper trough was “locked-in” the previous 30+ days and responsible in part for a wet pattern for much of Chile, Argentina, and Brazil. The pattern is about to reverse.
09/15/2023, 5:43 am EDT
During the past 30 days a wet climate has emerged across Brazil, Chile, and eastward across Central Argentina. The wet pattern was somewhat unexpected. The rainy pattern has shifted soil moisture wetter in Central/East-central, and Southeast Brazil and eroded Chile and Argentina drought.
09/12/2023, 3:47 pm EDT
Once again, large marine heatwaves are causal to a catastrophic climate event, this time extreme rainfall in Libya. A large marine heat wave formed off the Northwest Coast earlier this year and recently expanded into the Mediterranean Sea. The upper air pattern associated with the MHW featured an amplified summertime ridge over Europe compensated for by a downstream trough across the east-central Mediterranean Sea. The most recent version of this pattern featured an omega blocking high-pressure centered on Germany.
09/12/2023, 11:52 am EDT
Meteorological summer 2023 was the 15th hottest on record and included the hottest summer in recorded in history for Louisiana. However, because the hot summer did not strike the Northeast Corridor, the U.S. population weight cooling degree days were greatly diminished. In fact, the last 3 summer seasons were hotter then summer 2023.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
- The 12Z GFS develops a low-pressure area well northeast of the Bahamas late tomorrow with steady strengthening as the system moves north and northwest and inland eastern North Carolina Saturday morning. From there, the system weakens while inland drifting slowly to Delaware by Sunday evening.
Climate Impact Company Climate Research
- When was the last cold winter season in Europe? Sprawling meteorological winter (DEC/JAN/FEB) cold was last observed during winter 2012-13. Since that time, 8 of 10 winter seasons have been warmer than normal across Europe. During the past 30 years, 7 widespread cold winter seasons have been observed clustering in the mid-to-late 1990’s and in the 2008-2013 period.