Latest News
03/21/2025, 12:00 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company 2025 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season will maintain the 2016-24 active period. However, the 2025 forecast is slightly below the 2016-24 average activity except for the number of intense hurricanes. The forecast is slightly above the longer-term climatology.
03/20/2025, 8:05 am EDT
A wet pattern remains in the forecast for Australia into early April. Upper air forecasts feature a semi-persistent upper trough across northwest continent. The upper trough produces instability coupled with warm SSTA surrounding the continent a regime develops capable of producing widespread heavy and consistent rains across much of Australia.
03/19/2025, 8:35 am EDT
A gigantic swath of high wind and attendant Red Flag Warnings are issued this morning extending from the Great Plains and Texas to the Ohio and Tennessee Valley(s). The expansive high wind event is extremely effective at drying soil conditions. The evaporative drought demand index (EDDI) is highlighting the Midwest, Southeast, and Southwest as areas of potential drought development or strengthening of existing drought.
03/18/2025, 4:21 am EDT
A primary concern is whether presence of dry-to-drought conditions across the eastern half of Europe to Southwest Russia and the Black Sea region will worsen mid-to-late spring and summer. The outlooks support intensification as the presence of upper-level ridging to warm and dry this region well-supported by the correlating SSTA forecasts.
03/17/2025, 8:16 am EDT
The Climate Impact Company month 1-5 ahead outlook valid for April to August 2025 is updated. The Q2/2025 outlook is biased very warm to hot across an expanding Southwest U.S. drought. Dry climate extends to the Central U.S. during mid-spring to early summer.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
North Atlantic Basin is Still Warmer Than Normal but Cooler Than 1 Year Ago
The North Atlantic basin remains warmer than normal but not as warm as one year ago. The main development region (MDR) has cooled to near normal. A marine heatwave in the subtropical North Atlantic remains but has weakened while very warm SSTA continue in the Caribbean Sea and parts of the Gulf of Mexico.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Comparing Q2/2025 and Meteorological Summer 2025 NOAA and CIC Climate Forecasts
A comparison between the NOAA/CPC long-lead probabilistic temperature and precipitation forecasts and the Climate Impact Company constructed analog outlooks centered on APR/MAY/JUN 2025 and JUN/JUL/AUG 2025.