Latest News

12/03/2024, 8:36 am EST

Madden Julian Oscillation Influence Warms U.S. Into Mid-December

A look at the primary climate controllers through the middle third of December yields an active and moderate to strong Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) across Maritime Continent. MJO phase_5 has a strong warming influence on the U.S. climate which is in the current medium-range forecast.
12/02/2024, 8:00 am EST

Potential Regenerating Cold in the Northeast U.S. Early January

Both GFS and ECM regenerate a cold upper trough in the Northeast U.S. to Quebec sector as the middle third of January approaches. The forecast explains why a surge in U.S. heating demand is projected by CFS V2 and ECM for the week of Jan. 3-9.
12/01/2024, 11:14 am EST

Colder/Snowier Forecast Change for Europe Beginning Next Weekend

A colder pattern across West/Central Europe emerges in the medium range according to ECM. During the colder transition, a large area of precipitation centered on Central Europe is indicated. As the colder weather strengthens, precipitation is over to mostly snow for Central to Southeast Europe and the Southern Mountains.
11/27/2024, 10:38 am EST

ECM and CFS V2 in Disagreement on 2nd Half of December in U.S.

The cold burst into the U.S. next week remains in the forecast easing in the 11-15-day period. Interestingly, ECM maintains a colder edge to the mid-to-late December forecast based on heating degree day projections while the CFS V2 is much warmer. The HDD forecasts are heavily weighted by the high population East U.S.
11/24/2024, 3:11 pm EST

PJM/SERC Hit by Significant Heating Demand Nov. 29-Dec. 5

After a warm autumn, a significant pattern change starting meteorological winter. A much colder forecast for the East trending colder during the 6-10/8-12-day period since late last week. Increased snow cover across Southern Canada into the Northern U.S. inspires the effectiveness of the cold air delivery. Significant heating demand, days when the average temperature is >10F colder than normal, is projected Nov. 29-Dec. 5 across both PJM and SERC sectors.