Latest News
06/26/2026, 9:50 am EDT
Increased westerly wind in the middle latitudes is characteristic of an El Nino climate, particularly during the winter season. Increased westerlies in the middle latitude is well represented by positive phase of global atmospheric angular momentum (GLAAM) index.
06/25/2026, 1:55 pm EDT
Severe drought in the Mid-Atlantic region is a significant concern as July approaches. The risk of over-achieving heat is significantly elevated across a large drought area during July. The hot bias provided by extreme dry soil moisture can easily overwhelm synoptic level forecasts and that’s the concern in July for the Mid-Atlantic region. The 12Z GFS Mid-Atlantic heat is hard to ignore.
06/23/2026, 1:06 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company month 1-4 precipitation outlook for India is updated. The forecast is driven primarily by warm ENSO analog years and partially by marginally positive phase Indian Ocean dipole (+IOD). The outlook does not completely fail the wet monsoon due to impacts of El Nino. However, key crop areas in Central India are likely to encounter developing and strengthening drought during the next several months.
06/21/2026, 3:37 pm EDT
Searing heat remains in the forecast for Europe during the last 10 days of June. The hot weather episode is hotter than 2 recent events (6/18 and 5/26). Paris, France is above 100F all week. The 15-day forecasts are very dry and hot accelerating drought concerns. Climate signals indicate the heat should ease in the 11-15-day period.
06/18/2026, 6:05 am EDT
Forecast models continue to make the case for developing and intensifying drought across much of Europe given continued hot and mostly dry 15-day forecasts and 16-30-day projections.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Europe Heat Fades in Medium-range (Except Southwest Europe)
The Europe heatwave remains intense and widens into the weekend followed by cooler changes for the northern half of Europe in the 6-10-day period. In the 11-15-day period, GFS and ECM (equally) combine to produce a cooler Northwest Eurasia forecast while Southwest Europe stays hot.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
North Atlantic Warm Hole Correlated With Europe Heat Risk; Expect Repeat in July and August
The North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH) is vividly displayed in daily sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) analysis centered south of Greenland and extending southwestward while compensating marine heatwaves (MHW) are present off the Europe West Coast, record warm in the Mediterranean Sea, with additional MHW’s in the Norwegian Sea and North Sea to Baltic Sea. The SSTA regime described is semi-permanent since 2015 and well-correlated to the tendency for amplified upper-level high pressure ridge areas during summertime.