Latest News

12/13/2018, 3:47 pm EST

Is The Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation Changing?

The November 2018 Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation was one of the coolest monthly observations during the last 20 years which otherwise has featured mostly very warm values. Is the warm cycle of the AMO about to change phase? If so prevailing climate changes (drier summers over crop areas) across North America and Europe are likely. Lowering number of hurricanes, given a cooler North Atlantic would also occur.
12/11/2018, 9:23 am EST

Super Rain Storm Ahead for NE Argentina to SE Brazil

A stalled frontal system coupled with 2 short waves of energy in the upper atmosphere expand an already heavy rainfall event generated in northeast Argentina lasting into the weekend. Flash flooding a certainty with this event.
12/07/2018, 4:30 am EST

In Late 2018 U.S. Soil Moisture is Much Wetter/European Drought Continues/South Africa Drought Strengthens

The global soil moisture trend during the past 3 months brought historic wet changes to Texas, the Midwest U.S. and parts of the East U.S. In Europe drought intensified and expanded eastward while Australian drought weakened slightly. In South Africa the latest drought condition strengthened while northern Argentina into central Brazil turned wetter.
12/04/2018, 1:57 pm EST

Explaining Unexpected Heavy Rains Across Northeast Brazil

Coupling between the warming eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere to produce an El Nino climate is not occurring. For this reason other regional climate generators gain influence. One recent example is emergence of a very un-El Nino-like wet regime evolving in northeast Brazil.
11/29/2018, 4:41 am EST

MJO-Inspired Major U.S. Storm Ahead

A major U.S. storm is ahead featuring a Nebraska blizzard, Mid-South U.S. tornado outbreak and 10 in. of rain across northern Florida is ahead inspired by interaction of mid-latitude storms entraining deep subtropical moisture provided by the tropical East Pacific Madden Julian oscillation. The event is a possible sign of El Nino climate onset. El Nino will be with us well into 2019.