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08/14/2026, 5:48 am EDT
The catalyst to the Europe 2026 heat waves was rapid strengthening of record warm marine heatwaves off the West and Southwest Coast of Europe plus the Mediterranean Sea during late spring to early summer. While African heat (also) initiated the anomalous heat, MHW’s sustained the subtropical high pressure ridge maintaining heat waves through summer 2026. Up next is influence on climate by a record El Nino episode.
08/12/2026, 5:06 pm EDT
NOAA/CPC issues an excessive heat/flash drought alert already underway in the Mid-south States and likely to intensify and persist most of the remainder of August while expanding into the Southeast States.
08/11/2026, 9:01 am EDT
The U.S. observed the hottest July on record. Wyoming observed their hottest July on record while 20 states finished in the MUCH ABOVE normal category. 14 of 20 states observed top 5 hottest all-time while 4 states were top 3 all-time hottest.
08/10/2026, 4:28 am EDT
Along the southern periphery of the active Midwest U.S. weather pattern, building anomalous heat will last through much of the next 2 weeks. The risk of 100F reaches Southern Nebraska and Kansas to the Southern Missouri Valley (and southward) consistently during the hot period. The Mid-south, Southern Plains, and much of Texas receives no rain and Southern Plains drought is expansive.
08/07/2026, 1:48 pm EDT
Cool relief for the Northeast U.S. according to the 12Z GFS while Mid-south heat is intense days 6-10 and widens days 11-15 from the Great Plains to the Southeast U.S. The 12Z GFS maintains an arc of heavy rain and severe weather from the Midwest U.S. to the Mid-Atlantic States.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Extremes In U.S. Soil Moisture Anomalies/August Change
Extremes are evolving in mid-August. Flash drought in a dry climate with excessive heat is underway in the Mid-south U.S. Meanwhile, to the north of the rapidly emerging drought, ring of fire thunderstorms is flooding the Midwest States.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Warm North Atlantic Surface but Upper Ocean Heat Gulf of Mexico Decreases Sharply
Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and western North Atlantic basin are moderately warmer than normal with little recent change. In the tropics, SSTA is near normal in the central basin with sharp warming off the West Africa Coast. Upper ocean heat in the deep tropics is near normal given the 2013-25 available climatology. Interestingly, upper ocean heat in the Gulf of Mexico has plummeted to lowest levels on record given the 2013-25 climatology.