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02/23/2026, 5:25 am EST
Memory of the winter 2025-26 upper air pattern has featured a semi-permanent polar vortex over the Northeast U.S. Once again, another potent storm within that semi-permanent trough pattern today batters the Northeast U.S. as a blizzard.
02/22/2026, 1:26 pm EST
Focus is on the Northeast Corridor blizzard, the first widespread blizzard since January 2022. Blizzard Warnings extend from the Mid-Atlantic Coast to east and south portions of New England. The culprit is a coastal storm developing east-southeast of Norfolk, VA early this afternoon drifting slowly northeastward as a “bomb cyclone” with a central pressure near 970 MB south of Nantucket tomorrow at dawn.
02/20/2026, 5:24 am EST
Given the low-pressure forecasts, high wind is a major issue with the SUN/MON Northeast Coastal storm. Utilizing the aggressive GFS forecast, wind gusts in the 45-65 mph range should be expected Sunday evening on the Mid-Atlantic Coast extending inland to I-95. By late Monday morning, wind gusts approach hurricane force across southeastern Massachusetts. High wind and heavy snow combination could produce blizzard conditions.
02/19/2026, 9:16 am EST
The Scandinavia Index was negative during February and remains negative for the weekend. However, the -SCAND reverses to positive phase later next week causing the pattern to change from cold across the North and mild/stormy South so far in February to somewhat milder and drier for the southern half of Europe while cold eases in the North heading into March.
02/18/2026, 8:58 am EST
The latest U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast reveals a return to seasonably cold weather and near normal national heating demand next week. However, utilizing ECM, CFS, and 3 AI models, the week 4-5 HDD projections are generally quite warm.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
El Nino Analogs for U.S. Corn Belt JUN-SEP
As of mid-February, 73.7% of the U.S. is in a dry-to-drought condition up from 66.2% in mid-December according to NOAA. Harsh D2-D4 drought is observed in 22.6% of the U.S., an increase of almost 10% during the past 2 months. The equatorial East Pacific subsurface is warming dramatically encouraging El Nino ahead! Two La Nina to El Nino first half of year analogs are 1997 and 2023 which featured dryness Iowa JUN-SEP having U.S. Corn Belt implications.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
February 2026 Global Marine Heatwaves Outlook: Expect a significant increase in 2026
Combining NOAA and Climate Impact Company (CIC) identification of current global sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and the International Multi-Model Ensemble (IMME) SSTA forecast for APR/MAY/JUN 2026 renders expansion of marine heatwave (MHW) risk for 2026. According to NOAA, aerial coverage of global MHW’s is 23% in FEB-26 and forecast to increase to 30% by mid-year and 37% by end of 2026.