Latest News
08/19/2026, 4:31 am EDT
The Climate Impact Company month 1-4 ahead forecast for South America is updated. The outlook is based primarily on the evolution of Super El Nino and variable anomalous warm SSTA off each coast. The outlook warrants an ALERT for developing/widening/intensifying drought in Brazil as meteorological summer 2026-27 arrives. Additionally, excessive rainfall causing dangerous flooding emerges in Southeast Brazil and may expand westward as summertime arrives.
08/18/2026, 8:11 am EDT
NOAA/CPC issues an alert for the medium range for extreme heat risk covering the southern half of the Great Plains and much of the Southern U.S. The attendant lack of rain is causal to flash drought affecting eastern and northern Texas, all of Oklahoma, southeastern Kansas, western Arkansas, and most of Louisiana and Mississippi.
08/17/2026, 2:10 pm EDT
The warmest eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean subsurface temperature anomalies on record are identified by NOAA valid for Aug. 9, 2026. The warmest anomalies are 10-11C warmer than normal near 100-meter depth. The historic warm water identifies the potential energy to warm the ocean surface inspiring an intense El Nino climate.
08/16/2026, 3:45 pm EDT
Upper trough elongates across Western Europe causing widespread rain and cooler temperatures to initiate the week 2-4 outlook. The wet weather carries into early September. Farther downstream, anomalous heat continues in the Black Sea region.
08/14/2026, 5:48 am EDT
The catalyst to the Europe 2026 heat waves was rapid strengthening of record warm marine heatwaves off the West and Southwest Coast of Europe plus the Mediterranean Sea during late spring to early summer. While African heat (also) initiated the anomalous heat, MHW’s sustained the subtropical high pressure ridge maintaining heat waves through summer 2026. Up next is influence on climate by a record El Nino episode.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Extremes In U.S. Soil Moisture Anomalies/August Change
Extremes are evolving in mid-August. Flash drought in a dry climate with excessive heat is underway in the Mid-south U.S. Meanwhile, to the north of the rapidly emerging drought, ring of fire thunderstorms is flooding the Midwest States.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Northern Brazil Drought; Southeast Brazil Flooding for Spring
Evolution of serious drought across Northern Brazil while flooding rainfall is likely across Southeast Brazil is indicated by the spring 2026 season forecast according to ECMWF.