News
12/08/2024, 1:55 pm EST

La Nina Onset Possible by January 1st

On the ENSO front, nearly 30 days of positive phase southern oscillation index (+SOI) intensifying during early December has caused increased trade winds and cooling SSTA in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. The Nino34 SSTA reached the La Nina threshold of -0.50C over the weekend. The +SOI regime continues through mid-December. Oceanic La Nina onset is possible by early January.
12/08/2024, 12:35 pm EST

Coldest Anomalies of U.S. Meteorological Winter 2024-25 in U.S. Just Ending?

Early December 2024 was remarkably cold in the East U.S. The unexpected chill is due to an unusual weather pattern featuring highly amplified trough and ridge features from Northeast Asia to the East Coast of North America while most of Eurasia has a somewhat benign pattern. The leading climate diagnostic supporting the East U.S. chill is a streak of mid-latitude stratospheric warming.
12/06/2024, 10:36 am EST

Limited Drought Areas in Australia

November 2024 soil moisture analysis reveals limited drought areas mostly attached to the south and southeast coast. Wet soils dominate the western half of Australia adding parts of the North Coast and either side of the coastal Queensland/New South Wales border.
12/06/2024, 10:34 am EST

Spring Rains Erode Brazil and Argentina Long-term Drought

The wet pattern starting December 2024 is (mostly) across Argentina extending northward to Southern Brazil. North of the wet zone, most of Brazil is drier than normal. The daily soil moisture analysis reveals the effectiveness of spring rains at eroding both Argentina and Brazil long-term drought.