December 2024 - Page 5 of 10 - Climate Impact Company

News

12/16/2024, 4:43 am EST

Regional SSTA Patterns Bring Surprising Climate Regimes

Typical of climate pattern(s) nowadays, regional SSTA are influencing local climate in unexpected ways. The best recent example is the cooling of the western North Atlantic basin initiated by north-turning tropical cyclones during the late warm season. The low-pressure area off the U.S. East Coast has invited surprising chill to the East U.S. as meteorological winter begins.

12/15/2024, 7:54 pm EST

Marine Heatwave Influence Dominate Australia Month 1-4 Ahead Climate Outlook

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog (CIC-CA) climate forecast across Australia for JAN-APR 2025 is updated. The forecast is based primarily on the influence of continental climate by the ominous presence of marine heat waves and a weak La Nina episode.

12/11/2024, 1:28 pm EST

North Atlantic Basin 2025 Preliminary Tropical Cyclone Outlook

The 2016-24 active period for tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin is forecast to continue in 2025. During the 2025 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season similar climate conditions are forecast including neutral ENSO shifting back to La Nina and a warmer than normal North Atlantic basin. The preliminary seasonal tropical cyclone activity forecast for the 2025 season indicates 20 tropical storms, 11 hurricanes, and 6 intense hurricanes plus the 6th highest ACE index (193) on record. The risk of a dangerous season in the Gulf of Mexico is >50 percent while analogs indicate mixed risk for the U.S. East Coast.

12/11/2024, 8:50 am EST

Focus on Today’s Northeast U.S. Squall Line

Ahead of a strong cold front, a squall line featuring possible severe thunderstorms, a rarity for December, moves from the Northern Mid-Atlantic States early this afternoon across southern New England this evening. Locally heavy rain causing flooding high wind, and severe thunderstorms are possible.