News
09/19/2024, 10:21 am EDT

Shifting Madden Julian Oscillation, Wetter Brazil

The Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is forecast to shift eastward from Maritime Continent (of the past several weeks) across the tropical East Pacific to tropical Africa over the next 2-3 weeks. The eastward shift should activate the North Atlantic tropics and increase risk of a wider wet weather pattern for Brazil.
09/19/2024, 10:19 am EDT

North Atlantic Tropics Become Favorable for Tropical Cyclone Generation

AIFS indicates potential for a developing tropical cyclone late in the 1-5-day period in the west-central Caribbean Sea. In the 6-10-day period, there is the likelihood of a hurricane developing in the Gulf of Mexico. The hurricane is likely to turn northeastward into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and the Southeast U.S. early in the 11-15-day period.
09/18/2024, 2:50 pm EDT

U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Forecast Reveals Warm Winter 2024-25

The Climate Impact Company initial U.S. gas population weight heating degree day forecast for the 2024-25 cold season is issued. Most striking is the warm mid-winter forecast as national HDD falls well below the 30-year and 10-year climatology. The DEC-24 and FEB-25 forecasts are each close to the (warm) 10-year normal.