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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: Cooler changes for Southern Australia.
Europe Week 2-4 Outlook: Short-term wet weather for Europe and cool into Early April.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Siding with ECM (wet risk Argentina) as forecast models vary widely.
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Steadily wetter Southern U.S. climate pattern.
India Week 2-4 Outlook: Patchy rain risk in India but not enough to slow possible Northeast India drought.
Month 1-3 Ahead
Europe Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: More (drought) trouble brewing for summer 2023
U.S. Month 1-3 Outlook: Wet spring Midwest; Very warm Texas to Mid-Atlantic.
Australia Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Out of La Nina so drier but cool climate for Q2/2023.
South America Month 1-3 Outlook: Argentina drought roars on; Northeast Brazil is mostly wet.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: A La Nina to El Nino transition in 2023. Cool bias through winter with a dry/warm bias generating for spring and next summer.
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Forecast
U.S. Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Plenty of warmth; Wet East.
Europe/Western Russia Seasonal 1-3 Ahead Outlook
ENSO Outlook
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics Report: East Pacific subsurface warming fast. El Nino forecasts by many models by JUN/JUL gaining credibility.
Strong Madden Julian Oscillation Ends La Nina
March 2023 Monthly ENSO Outlook: El Nino ahead for mid-year. Intensity uncertain.
February 2023 Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Outlook for 2023
GLOBAL AGRICULTURE ALERT
SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK
RESEARCH
TROPICS
Global Agricultural Alert
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Low confidence springtime forecasts yield warmer medium-range results but chilly weather returns extended-range.
Daily AG Market Round-up: Verifying the CIC-CA summertime forecast for South America.
AG Market Early Global Weather/Climate Alert: Short-term excessive rainfall event Mid-south/East-central U.S. Great Plains looks dry in the medium range.
AG Market Hot Spot: South America and Australia updates.
AG Market Global Weather/Climate Alert PPTX Presentation
AG Market Sunday Global Weather/Climate Report: Where are the current drought areas? 2-week outlooks into early April.
Daily AG Market Round-up: U.S. Sunday report.
Soil Moisture Outlook
March 2023 Global Soil Moisture Observations and Outlook
U.S. Soil Moisture Outlook
Research
Strong El Nino/Positive Phase Indian Ocean Dipole Correlate to Europe Summer Drought
Onset of Climate Pattern Change Ahead Including La Nina Demise and ENSO Shift Toward El Nino
Tropics
North Atlantic 2023 TC Outlook: El Nino holds down seasonal activity below amount observed during the 2016-22 active period.
North Atlantic Basin 2022 Tropical Cyclone Season Summary
