08/11/2022, 7:49 pm EDT

U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Dry North/wet South ahead!

Chart of the day: U.S. 7-day forecast. Discussion: ECM ENS is the wettest forecast. However, the vigorous wet monsoon in the Southwest U.S. is the rainfall source region to interact with short wave energy to the east. The Missouri Valley is wet along the Northeast and southern Texas. Hot weather in the Great Plains fades fast and the Northwest is home to the excessive heat. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 22-28, 2022: Wetter! Discussion: The Northwest U.S. and across Canada is where the warm pattern rests. The U.S. trends wetter especially Texas and the Mid-South States. Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid August 29-September 4, 2022: Wetter/cooler Mid-south U.S. Discussion: Warmth (and dryness) stretch across the northern tier. The Dakotas ease into drought (again). The far northwest U.S. Corn Belt also is prone to drought. The Southwest and Mid-south States are the wet zones. Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid September 5-11, 2022: Stays wet South. Discussion: A low confidence forecast maintains the wet South/dry North regime.