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07/19/2019, 9:45 am EDT

U.S. Medium-range Report

Highlight: Cooler into the South days 6-10. Charts of the Day: Cooling off on Monday! Discussion: The GFS OP temperature anomaly forecast for Monday afternoon indicates the weekend heat wave is over. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid July 24-28, 2019 Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid July 29-Aug. 2, 2019 Discussion: The cool pattern settles into the Southeast/Gulf region in the 6-10 day period while California trends hotter. In the 11-15 day period the cool signature is weaker while the West stays hot and Northeast warmer than normal. Extended-range 16-20 Day Forecast Valid August 3-7, 2019 Discussion: A low confidence forecast yields warmth across the West and Southeast U.S. The GFS OP days 6-10/11-15 %Normal Rainfall Forecast Discussion: The GFS ENS day 6-10 forecast is familiar…dry for much of the U.S. However, the 11-15 day forecast trends wetter in the Great Plains and Midwest U.S.