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02/22/2019, 8:26 am EST

U.S. Medium-range Outlook

Highlight: Medium-range is very cold; relief days 16-20. Charts of the Day: High wind zones over-the-weekend. Discussion: Highest wind for weekend event is where direct is westerly. Thundershowers can pull down high wind (at night) where wind is southerly. Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid Feb. 27-Mar. 3, 2019 Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid Mar. 4-8, 2019 Discussion: The northern U.S. maintains a cold signature and the cold core is easing slowly eastward in the medium-range. The Southwest is warmer especially days 6-10. The Northeast Corridor is snowy and cold. Extended-range 16-20 Day Forecast Valid Mar. 9-13, 2019 Discussion: Signs of a warmer pattern developing. The U.S. Spring Outlook Discussion: Flood potential is high Central and East during spring due to excessive soil moisture. The spring forecast indicates mostly normal rainfall in the Central and East except above normal rainfall (and enhanced flood risk) in the Mid-South to northwest Gulf region. The Canada forecast is revised much cooler from warmer than normal in the previous forecast to temperate in the update. During spring the warmer than normal target is the West U.S. The forecast may not be warm enough on the East Coast.