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10/19/2018, 1:07 pm EDT

Midday Energy Market Update

Highlight:  Canadian snow cover limits MJO warming.   Forecast guidance for the next 90 days…   Western North America ridge, warm subtropical feed into Southeast. Cold polar vortex central/east Canada = snowy cold source region. Result? Changeable East/Southeast and stormy; warm West.   Projected Monday morning medium-range…   Days 6-10: Interior West to 4 Corners ABOVE; East is BELOW. NO excessive anomalies. Days 11-15: BELOW East-Central. ABOVE West.   HDD   Days 6-10: No major change. Days 11-15: Warmer. 12Z GFS Oct. 26-Nov. 1 HDD from 2 days ago: 110.2 HDD, yesterday 59.2 HDD and today: 79.6. LOW confidence! Dates HDD forecast 12-hr change 24 hours ago NOAA Nml Oct 19-25 89.6 +0.3 85.2 85 Oct 26-Nov 1 79.6 -14.5 59.2 101 Nov 2-8 101.0 -7.5 N/A 116  Table 1: CWG tabulates the 12Z GFS OP gas population weight HDD