Chart of the day: May was dry for much of Europe. Discussion: May 2023 brought below normal rainfall to much of Europe and Western Russia with the wet zone shifting to Southern Europe and benefiting the established drought area in Spain and Northwest Africa. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid June 12-19, 2023: Outlook changes…Warmer Europe/Cooler Western Russia. Discussion: A forecast change as CFS V2 indicates a cooler regime across Western Russia while the Europe forecast trend is warmer. Dryness persists across Central Europe. Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid June 19-26, 2023: Forecast changes…Warmer Europe/Cooler Western Russia. Discussion: Outlook is different again…Western Russia cool pattern while Europe is warmer. Southeast Europe/Turkey is wetter than normal. Some shower activity may develop in Western Europe. Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid June 26-July 3, 2023: Europe warmth/dryness gaining. Discussion: Steady warmth and widening dryness in Europe into early July.