News
03/23/2023, 9:55 am EDT
Highlight: Excessive rain Ohio Valley next 2 days. A break for California. Refineries… Delaware City, DE and Paulsboro, NJ: Showers likely today. Showers will continue tomorrow. On Saturday, showers end. Mostly sunny on Sunday. Partly cloudy on Monday. Toledo, OH: A showery day. Staying cloudy with some light rain tomorrow. Heavy rain is possible tomorrow night. Gusty rain showers on Saturday. Clearing on Sunday. New Orleans, LA: Partly to mostly sunny today. Showers by late Friday, may thunder. Any showers end on Saturday. Chance of showers Sunday. Mostly cloudy on Monday. California Market… Martinez (near Concord): Cloudy with chance of showers today. Variable cloudiness, windy, on Friday. Mostly sunny, windy, and cool on Saturday. Mostly sunny, breezy on Sunday. Increasing clouds, showers/windy at night on Monday. Torrance, CA (using Santa Maria, CA): Showers and breezy today. Clearing, still breezy on Friday. Breezy, sunny on Saturday. Mostly sunny, breezy on Saturday. Sunny on Sunday and Monday. HQ… Parsippany: Showers likely today. Cloudy on Friday. More showers on Saturday. Partly cloudy, breezy on Sunday. Partly cloudy on Monday. Houston: Partly to mostly sunny today. Showers and thunderstorms on Friday. Mostly sunny on Saturday. May be a few showers Sunday. Showers likely on Monday. Calgary: Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow today. Mostly cloudy on Friday. Chance of light snow on Saturday. Partly cloudy, colder on Sunday. Chance of light snow on Monday.
03/23/2023, 8:36 am EDT
Highlight: Ohio Valley flooding next 2 days. Richmond, VA… THU: Partly cloudy, breezy. High 79. Low 60. FRI: Increasing clouds. Showers late at night. High 80. Low 50. SAT: Showers, may thunder. High 75. Low 54. SUN: Sunny. High 72. Low 46. MON: Mostly sunny. High 65. Low 43. Days 6-10: -1.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: 0.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 62. Low 39. Charleston, WV… THU: Showers possible. High 72. Low 52. FRI: More showers. High 67. Low 47. SAT: Variable cloudiness. High 73. Low 47. SUN: Sunny. High 63. Low 39. MON: Mostly sunny. High 63. Low 37. Days 6-10: -1.0. 130% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -0.5. 130% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 60. Low 37. Baltimore, MD… THU: Showers likely, breezy. High 73. Low 49. FRI: Showers. High 64. Low 44. SAT: Chance of showers. High 65. Low 46. SUN: Sunny. High 64. Low 42. MON: Sunny. High 62. Low 41. Days 6-10: -1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 57. Low 36. Philadelphia, PA… THU: Showers likely. High 66. Low 46. FRI: More showers. High 61. Low 45. SAT: Showers likely. High 61. Low 46. SUN: Sunny. High 61. Low 41. MON: Sunny. High 58. Low 40. Days 6-10: -1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 55. Low 36. New York City… THU: Showers likely. High 63. Low 46. FRI: Variable cloudiness. High 56. Low 44. SAT: Showers likely. High 52. Low 46. SUN: Mostly sunny. High 58. Low 40. MON: Sunny. High 53. Low 41. Days 6-10: -2.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 52. Low 38. Albany, NY… THU: Showers likely. High 61. Low 37. FRI: Partly cloudy. High 50. Low 33. SAT: Rain likely. High 43. Low 36. SUN: Chance of a shower. High 50. Low 32. MON: Partly cloudy. High 51. Low 31. Days 6-10: -2.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -2.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 48. Low 28. Hartford, CT… THU: Showers likely. High 63. Low 38. FRI: Partly cloudy. High 47. Low 36. SAT: Rain likely. High 43. Low 37. SUN: Chance of a shower. High 56. Low 34. MON: Partly cloudy. High 53. Low 33. Days 6-10: -2.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -2.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 50. Low 30. Boston, MA… THU: Showers likely. High 59. Low 41. FRI: Mostly sunny. High 51. Low 37. SAT: Rain likely. High 43. Low 39. SUN: Chance of showers. High 55. Low 37. MON: Partly cloudy. High 52. Low 36. Days 6-10: -2.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -2.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 47. Low 33. Binghamton, NY… THU: Showers likely. High 57. Low 30. FRI: Mostly sunny. Cloudy at night. High 44. Low 32. SAT: Rain likely. High 47. Low 35. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 47. Low 28. MON: Partly cloudy. High 43. Low 27. Days 6-10: -2.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -2.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 43. Low 26. Williamsport, PA… THU: Showers likely. High 65. Low 40. FRI: Mostly cloudy. Showers at night. High 53. Low 39. SAT: Showers continue. High 55. Low 39. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 56. Low 32. MON: Mostly sunny. High 56. L0w 32. Days 6-10: -1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -2.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 50. Low 30. Pittsburgh, PA… THU: Showers likely. High 62. Low 38. FRI: Mostly cloudy. Showers at night. High 47. Low 41. SAT: Showers likely. High 67. Low 43. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 55. Low 33. MON: Mostly sunny. High 55. Low 33. Days 6-10: -1.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 52. Low 32. Cleveland, OH… THU: Showers likely. High 62. Low 37. FRI: Mostly cloudy. Rain at night. High 45. Low 35. SAT: Showers likely. High 62. Low 36. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 48. Low 34. MON: Partly cloudy. High 50. Low 35. Days 6-10: -1.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 50. Low 33. Toledo, OH… THU: Showers likely. High 61. Low 36. FRI: Mostly cloudy. Rain at night. High 43. Low 35. SAT: Showers likely. High 59. Low 33. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 46. Low 33. MON: Partly cloudy. High 50. Low 33. Days 6-10: -1.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 51. Low 32. Columbus, OH… THU: Showers likely. High 67. Low 41. FRI: Rain. High 51. Low 39. SAT: Showers likely. High 65. Low 35. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 55. Low 33. MON: Partly cloudy. High57. Low 35. Days 6-10: -1.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -1.0. 120% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 54. Low 34. Covington, KY…Flood Watch in effect. THU: Showers likely. High 67. Low 47. FRI: Rain, thunderstorms. High 61. Low 39. SAT: Showers likely. High 64. Low 42. SUN: Partly cloudy. High 58. Low 38. MON: Partly cloudy. High 61. Low 35. Days 6-10: -1.0. 130% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -0.5. 130% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 55. Low 35. Columbia, SC… THU: Sunny. High 82. Low 58. FRI: Mostly sunny. High 85. Low 59. SAT: Showers, may thunder. High 78. Low 66. SUN: Variable cloudiness. High 82. Low 54. MON: Chance of rain. High 70. Low 52. Days 6-10: +1.0. 130% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: +1.5. 130% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 70. Low 45. Charleston, SC… THU: Sunny. High 82. Low 60. FRI: Mostly sunny. High 84. Low 60. SAT: Showers, may thunder. High 79. Low 56. SUN: Showers likely. High 82. Low 56. MON: Rain likely. High 72. Low 52. Days 6-10: +1.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: +1.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 71. Low 48. Houston, TX… THU: Partly cloudy. High 85. Low 68. FRI: Thundershowers ending. High 81. Low 61. SAT: Sunny. High 84. Low 60. SUN: Chance of showers. High 80. Low 64. MON: Rain likely. High 76. Low 6. Days 6-10: +2.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: +1.5. 120% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 76. Low 55. Birmingham, AL… THU: Mostly sunny. High 81. Low 59. FRI: Partly cloudy. Thunderstorms at night. High 80. Low 61. SAT: Thundershowers ending. High 82. Low 66. SUN: Chance of showers. High 73. Low 53. MON: Rain likely. High 75. Low 53. Days 6-10: +2.5. 140% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: +2.5. 140% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 69. Low 46. Jacksonville, FL… THU: Mostly sunny. High 86. Low 58. FRI: Mostly sunny. High 88. Low 61. SAT: Thundershowers by late day. High 89. Low 64. SUN: Variable cloudiness. High 90. Low 64. MON: Chance of thundershowers. High 85. Low 60. Days 6-10: +3.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: +3.5. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 76. Low 52. Calgary… THU: Partly cloudy. High 39. Low 23. FRI: Chance of snow. High 32. Low 20. SAT: Chance of snow. High 31. Low 16. SUN: Chance of light snow. High 28. Low 13. MON: Partly cloudy. High 29. Low 12. Days 6-10: -3.5. 90% of normal precipitation. Days 11-15: -3.0. 110% of normal precipitation. Normal: High 42. Low 21.
03/23/2023, 8:22 am EDT
Fig. 1: NOAA/NWS watch, warning, and advisory areas. Discussion: Heavy rain event is unfolding in the Mid-south U.S. and a Flood Watch is issued for Oklahoma to Ohio (Fig. 1). A plethora of issues in the West including more winter snows centered on the Oregon Cascades. Snowmelt issues could cause flooding in Montana while Avalanche Warning’s are issued for the Western Rockies in Colorado. Dense fog hinders travel in coastal Alabama and the Florida Panhandle plus South Carolina. Today’s heavy rain/flood risk is most focused on eastern Oklahoma to southern Missouri while severe thunderstorms strike West-central Texas (Fig. 2). On Friday, the severe weather risk and heavy rain/flood risk expands (Fig. 3). Included is a tornado risk in Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi. Rain will spread across the Northeast on Saturday. Early next week brings another “atmospheric river” event to California. The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast maintains above normal late season heating demand (Fig. 4). Fig. 2-3: The NOAA/WPC excessive rainfall/flood risk areas for THU/FRI and the attendant severe thunderstorm zones. Fig. 4: U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast utilizing all models, their consensus, and comparison with 24 hours ago and the 10-year/30-year climatology.