Highlight: River levels to improve SHARPLY! Fig. 1: Current flood stage and 2-week outlook at Krotz Srings on the Atchafalaya River. Discussion: River level forecast for Sep. 1 along the Atchafalaya is up to 5.5 feet from near 3 feet with forecasts issued about one week ago (Fig. 1). The rising river-level forecast is due to an evolving wet weather pattern indicated in the NOAA/WPC 7-day rainfall forecast (Fig. 2). The rising river level trend is likely to continue as the rainfall forecast centered on or just south of the Red River is in the 4-8 in. range according to NOAA/WPC. Fig. 2: NOAA/WPC rainfall forecast for the next 7 days.      

Highlight: Incoming cooling thunderstorm pattern. Medium-range remains wet. Big Spring, TX…Thunderstorm pattern generates. WED: Sunny followed by increased risk of thunderstorms. Light east wind. High 94. Low 71. THU: Thundershowers likely. Light northeast wind. High 88. Low 70. FRI: Thundershowers likely. High 91. Low 72. SAT: Chance of late day/overnight thunderstorms. High 95. Low 73. SUN: Thunderstorms. High 90. Low 72. Days 6-10: Cooler/wetter than normal. Tyler, TX…Heat Advisory today. Thunderstorm pattern ahead. WED: Sunny followed by increased risk of thunderstorms. High 101. Low 75. THU: More gusty thunderstorms. High 87. Low 73. FRI: Partly cloudy, chance of a shower. High 91. Low 73. SAT: Mostly sunny. High 94. Low 75. SUN: Late day gusty thunderstorms. High 93. Low 75. Days 6-10: Thundery; heavy rain. El Dorado, AR…Wet pattern ahead. WED: Gusty thunderstorms; heavy rain risk. High 93. Low 69. THU: Lingering showers. High 82. Low 67. FRI: Mostly sunny. High 89. Low 67. SAT: Partly cloudy. High 91. Low 71. SUN: More thunderstorms/heavy rain. High 89. Low 71. Days 6-10: Potential for extreme rain. Krotz Springs, LA…Heavy rain ahead. WED: Mostly sunny then late day/evening thunderstorm risk. High 95. Low 75. THU: Heavy thunderstorms; gusty wind. High 89. Low 74. FRI: More thunderstorms; locally heavy rain. High 85. Low 73. SAT: Regenerating thunderstorms. High 89. Low 74. SUN: Showers and thunderstorms. High 90. Low 74. Days 6-10: Thundery; very warm and humid.