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08/13/2018, 7:56 am EDT

Europe Week 2-4 Outlook

Highlight: Central/East Europe stay warm/dry. Issued: Monday, August 13, 2018 Last Week: Continued hot! Discussion: Excessive warmth continued across Europe last week. Strongest warm anomalies were centered on Germany to Australia to the Baltic Nations. Drier than normal climate was observed most locations centered on Germany and Spain plus Southeast Europe.      Week 2 Ahead: August 19-25, 2018 Comment: Early in the period the storm track brings wet weather across U.K. to the north coast of Germany and Poland to the coastal Baltics and north. Mid-to-late period turns drier and warmer. Central Europe continues warm and dry. Wet weather is possible late period into Spain/Portugal. Week 3 Ahead: August 26-Sep. 1, 2018 Comment: Warm-to-hot and dry much of Europe early period. The upper ridge pattern supporting the dryness and warmth shifts northeast late period. Chance of wet weather late period into Southwest Europe (and cooler). Week 4 Ahead: September 2-8, 2018 Comment: Below average forecast confidence yields a wet Western Europe upper trough while dry and warm climate is across Eastern Europe to Western Russia. The forecast is based mostly on the NCEP CFS V2 (model).