Highlight: Some beneficial rain early-to-middle of next week! Charts of the day: EDO updates Europe drought analysis plus the 10-day risk of >100F forecast. Discussion: The latest Europe Drought Observatory (EDO) analysis of soil moisture conditions reveals 47% of Europe is in a drought warning while 17% of Europe is in an alert, the worst drought condition. Over the next 10 days, the risk of >100F is present across Southwest Europe most evident this week and easing next week while building excessive heat is indicated for the Black Sea region. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 15-21, 2022: Much-needed rains delivered by an upper trough in the 6-10-day period. Discussion: After extreme heat this week across Southwest Europe and the Black Sea Region next week, a following trough brings some rain (according to ECM ENS) to parts of the British Islands, drought-parched France and eastward to the Baltic Region and Western Russia. The hot and dry core is mostly over Southwest Russia to Southeast Europe. Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid August 22-28, 2022: Warm/dry again Southwest Europe; stays dry/hot Southwest Russia. Discussion: Upper trough brings rain across Scandinavia into the Baltic Region. Southern Europe to Southwest Russia is dry and very warm to hot. Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid August 29-September 4, 2022: Baltic Region/Northern Europe wet/temperate otherwise region is mostly dry and very warm. Discussion: Southern Europe stays mostly hot and dry. Southwest Russia dryness and anomalous heat also continues. Wet weather is most beneficial to the Baltic Nations.