08/16/2022, 12:24 pm EDT

Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: -IOD/La Nina = Wet climate.

Charts of the day: Last week’s rainfall and daily soil moisture anomalies.   Discussion: Last week, heavy rain was observed in far southwest and southeastern Australia crop areas. Daily soil moisture observations reveal surprisingly dry conditions across the South Coast, interior Western Australia and northwest continent according to NOAA/CPC. Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 22-28, 2022: Wet Northeast; expansive cool regime. Discussion: Cold front plows into the northeast continent triggering a wet regime across Queensland followed by a broad cool regime. Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid August 29-September 4, 2022: Models are wet. Discussion: The cool weather eases while across the central and eastern continent wet weather expands. Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid September 5-11, 2022: -IOD/La Nina = Wet climate. Discussion: A broad cool and wet pattern is expected.