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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
Europe Week 2-4 Outlook: Cold pattern Western Russia into Europe and Black Sea region.
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: Wet weather risk easing.
Europe Week 2-4 Outlook: Snow and cold Eastern Europe, Western Russia and Ukraine.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Drought accelerates in Argentina.
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: More cold (and snow) and less warm areas in U.S. week 2-4 outlook.
Month 1-3 Ahead
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Cold North/warm South winter outlook although averaging colder than past 3 winter seasons.
Europe Month 1-3 Outlook: Marginally mild forecast for winter in Europe. However, the forecast trend is colder especially if snowy.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Cold North/warm South winter outlook although averaging colder than past 3 winter seasons.
Europe Month 1-3 Outlook: Marginally mild forecast for winter in Europe. However, the forecast trend is colder especially if snowy.
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Brazil develops a dry climate.
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Cold risk for Europe during winter is increasing.
U.S. Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Forecast: Moderate-strength polar vortex winter.
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Primary concern is wet in the East. Not expecting important drought risk. Climate is generally cooler than normal.
ENSO Outlook
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics: La Nina’s 3rd peak of the 2020-22 cold ENSO episode has occurred.
Madden Julian Oscillation Update: MJO rolls across Pacific toward Atlantic to ignite Mid-south/Brazil heavy rains.
November 2022 ENSO Outlook: Oceanic La Nina ends by FEB 2023; La Nina climate lingers.
GLOBAL AGRICULTURE ALERT
SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK
RESEARCH
TROPICS
Global Agricultural Alert
AG Market Global Weather/Climate ALERT PPTX Presentation
U.S. 16-20-Day Extended-range Forecast: Turning colder East.
Daily Feature: ALERT for cold from Western Russia/Ukraine to Europe.
Early AG Market Notes: ALERT for excessive heat in Argentina and cold from Western Russia/Ukraine to Europe.
AG Market Hot Spot: Northern/eastern Australia rains.
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Pattern is similar but trending less cold/warmer except colder Northeast Corridor days 11-15.
AG Market Sunday Weather/Climate Report: North America pattern change; New pattern across Eurasia strengthens.
Soil Moisture Outlook
October 2022 Global Soil Moisture Trend and Forecast Report
Research
AG Market Weather/Climate Research: Forecast confidence for a cold late winter in the Central U.S. including Texas increases.
Argentina Marine Heat Wave Influencing South America Climate
Tropics
Revised 2022 Tropical Cyclone Season Forecast for Much Lower Amount
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