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MARKET NOTES
MEDIUM/EXTENDED RANGE
TROPICS
Market Notes
U.S. Energy Midday Update
Daily Feature: Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook
Mid-Atlantic/Ohio Valley 5-Day Weather Alert
U.S. Energy Market Early Notes
Daily Feature: U.S. May 2023 Wind Speeds Below Normal Due to -SOI
Medium/Extended Range
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Midwest drought likely to worsen. Doubting Eastern warm-up.
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Trending cooler East, continued dry Midwest.
Tropics
North Atlantic 10-Day Tropical Monitor
Daily Tropical Feuture: Colorado State University 2023 Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecast
Tropical Feature: Tropical Storm Risk U.K. North Atlantic 2023 TC Outlook
CLIMATE OUTLOOKS
CLIMATE
HDD/CDD FORECASTS
SUNDAY/HOLIDAY REPORT
Climate Outlooks
North Atlantic Basin 2023 Tropical Cyclone Outlook Update
U.S. Month 1-3 Outlook: Northwest heat and dryness continues, Northeast Corridor heat appears in JUL/AUG, and Great Plains drought easing late summer.
North America Season 1-4 Ahead Outlook: Outlook is biased dry North-central/Midwest U.S. through next spring, another hot summer ahead, and winter 2023-24 is mild East.
Europe Month 1-4 Ahead/Summer 2023 Outlook: Regenerating important heat/dryness is likely (again) during summer of 2023.
U.S. Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Risk of a central North America high-pressure ridge for summer 2023, autumn is wet, next winter is potentially (stormy/cold) interesting.
2023 North Atlantic Basin Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Outlook
North Atlantic 2023 TC Outlook: El Nino holds down seasonal activity below amount observed during the 2016-22 active period.
U.S. Soil Moisture Outlook
Climate
Transient Madden Julian Oscillation Supports Cool-down in East U.S. Next Week
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics Report: El Nino trying but failing to reach onset conditions.
May 2023 ENSO Outlook: ENSO forecast trend is stronger with 2023 El Nino followed by a flip back to La Nina later next year.
Pacific Decadal Oscillation Outlook: PDO stays cool, resists El Nino forecasts (for now)
February 2023 Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Outlook for 2023
HDD/CDD Forecasts
SPP Selected Cities CDD Forecast
ERCOT Selected Cities CDD Forecast
U.S. Selected Cities CDD Forecast for 2023
U.S. Population Weight CDD Forecast April to October 2023
U.S. Selected Cities CDD Forecast for 2023
U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Forecast for Oct-22 to Apr-23 FINAL/Verification
Sunday/Holiday Report
U.S. Energy Market Memorial Day Report: The Midwest U.S. continues to dry-out; Hot ahead of incoming (cooler) -NAO/-AO pattern.
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