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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Chance of a freeze in Southern Brazil Coffee Areas mid-June.
Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Watching Europe for developing dry soils.
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Midwest drought likely to worsen. Doubting Eastern warm-up.
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: Freeze Interior East Australia late week.
Month 1-3 Ahead
U.S. Month 1-3 Outlook: Northwest heat and dryness continues, Northeast Corridor heat appears in JUL/AUG, and Great Plains drought easing late summer.
Australia Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Winter has a mild start with cold risk greatest mid-to-late winter. Generally, a drier than normal climate. El Nino onset likely.
Europe Month 1-4 Ahead/Summer 2023 Outlook: Regenerating important heat/dryness is likely (again) during summer of 2023.
South America Month 1-3 Outlook: Argentina drought roars on; Northeast Brazil is mostly wet.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
North America Season 1-4 Ahead Outlook: Outlook is biased dry North-central/Midwest U.S. through next spring, another hot summer ahead, and winter 2023-24 is mild East.
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: +IOD/El Nino ahead promise an evolving dry bias to Australia climate for the second half of 2023.
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Summer looks hot, turns dry. Autumn and next winter are also warmer than normal.
U.S. Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Risk of a central North America high-pressure ridge for summer 2023, autumn is wet, next winter is potentially (stormy/cold) interesting.
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Forecast
ENSO Outlook
Transient Madden Julian Oscillation Supports Cool-down in East U.S. Next Week
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics Report: El Nino trying but failing to reach onset conditions.
May 2023 ENSO Outlook: ENSO forecast trend is stronger with 2023 El Nino followed by a flip back to La Nina later next year.
Pacific Decadal Oscillation Outlook: PDO stays cool, resists El Nino forecasts (for now)
February 2023 Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Outlook for 2023
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