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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
Europe Week 2-4 Outlook: Snowy Europe; Coldest Western Europe December since 2010.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Mostly dry and hot across the Argentina drought area.
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Overall trend is colder due to blocking pattern.
Month 1-3 Ahead
South America Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Argentina drought strengthens.
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Colder short-term forecasts into the East force a December update.
Europe Month 1-3 Outlook: Marginally mild forecast for winter in Europe. However, the forecast trend is colder especially if snowy.
Russia Month 1-3 Outlook: Mild start to the cold season but JAN/FEB go cold!
Australia Month 1-3 Outlook: Forecast trends cooler/wetter (East) for Q4/2022.
South/East Asia Month 1-3 Outlook: Unusually wet India/Southeast Asia into mid-autumn. Cold risk for China in December.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Argentina drought strengthens. Dry climate migrates into Brazil during meteorological autumn.
U.S. Season 1-4 Outlook: La Nina ending increases wet weather risk to Texas and vicinity.
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Cold risk for Europe during winter is increasing.
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Primary concern is wet in the East. Not expecting important drought risk. Climate is generally cooler than normal.
ENSO Outlook
December 2022 Monthly ENSO Forecast: La Nina a little weaker during Nov-22; El Nino later 2023
ENSO Weekly Diagnostics Report: La Nina continues BUT signs of weakening have arrived. Models seeing El Nino for mid-to-late 2023 with increasing strength.
Madden Julian Oscillation Update: MJO rolls across Pacific toward Atlantic to ignite Mid-south/Brazil heavy rains.
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