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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Middle East rains begin, last into early next year.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Southeast Brazil trends wetter, possibly too wet last 2 weeks of October.
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: East Coast susceptible to wet weather while elsewhere is hot and dry.
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Eastern half of U.S. cools off; West is warmer.
Month 1-3 Ahead
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Q4/2023 is warm-biased East, wet Midwest to Southeast.
Europe/Western Russia Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook
South America Month 1-3 Ahead: Sharp varying rainfall regimes ahead for Brazil.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: +IOD/El Nino/MHW’s strongly favor an emerging Australian drought ahead!
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook
Season 1-3 Ahead U.S.: Changeable winter, cool West/warm Northeast spring, and another hot Central/East summer of 2024.
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Southeast Brazil is soaking wet, Central Brazil gains a drought pattern, in the 2023-24 hot season outlook.
ENSO Outlook
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics Report: El Nino climate has developed. Oceanic El Nino is quite strong.
Update on ENSO 2023-24 Outlook
September 2023 ENSO Outlook: El Nino continues to intensify. However, doubting a super intense El Nino ahead. La Nina returns later in 2024.
September 2023 Global Marine Heat Waves Outlook
Indian Ocean Dipole Outlook: The lack of an El Nino climate (so far) is hurting +IOD evolution.
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