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MEDIUM RANGE OUTLOOK
WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Medium Range Outlook
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Cool blast East days 6-10; most of U.S. near normal after mid-October.
Week 2-4 Ahead
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: East is cooler for mid-to-late October.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Southeast Brazil rains are substantial. However, elsewhere in Brazil, dry and hot weather is widespread.
Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Middle East rains begin, last into early next year.
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: East Coast susceptible to wet weather while elsewhere is hot and dry.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Q4/2023 is warm-biased East, wet Midwest to Southeast.
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: +IOD/El Nino/MHW’s strongly favor an emerging Australian drought ahead!
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook
Season 1-3 Ahead U.S.: Changeable winter, cool West/warm Northeast spring, and another hot Central/East summer of 2024.
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Southeast Brazil is soaking wet, Central Brazil gains a drought pattern, in the 2023-24 hot season outlook.
ENSO Outlook
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics: Upper Ocean Heat Easing Slightly, Suggests El Nino 2023-24 Not a Super El Nino
Update on ENSO 2023-24 Outlook
September 2023 ENSO Outlook: El Nino continues to intensify. However, doubting a super intense El Nino ahead. La Nina returns later in 2024.
September 2023 Global Marine Heat Waves Outlook
Indian Ocean Dipole Outlook: The lack of an El Nino climate (so far) is hurting +IOD evolution.
GLOBAL AGRICULTURE ALERT
SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK
RESEARCH
TROPICS
Global Agricultural Alert
AG Market Early Notes: U.S. short-term rainfall.
AG Market Global Alert PPTX Presentation
AG Market Daily Round-up: U.S. Sunday report.
AG Market Global Weather/Climate Sunday Report
AG Hot Spot: Australia pattern change ahead.
Daily Feature: Inconsistent Asia Monsoon blamed for lack of hydropower generation.
Soil Moisture Outlook
U.S. Soil Moisture Outlook: Drought Erosion by Late Quarter 4/2023.
Research
AG Market Research: Understanding The Difference Between Multivariate ENSO Index and Nino34 SSTA Index
AG Market Marine Heatwave Research: Omega Block + Marine Heatwave = Libya Flooding
Tropics
North Atlantic Basin 10-Day Tropical Monitor
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