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MEDIUM RANGE OUTLOOK

WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK

SEASON 1-3 AHEAD

Medium Range Outlook

U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Cool blast East days 6-10; most of U.S. near normal after mid-October.
10/03/2023, 8:17 am EDT

Week 2-4 Ahead

U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: East is cooler for mid-to-late October.
10/03/2023, 8:40 am EDT
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Southeast Brazil rains are substantial. However, elsewhere in Brazil, dry and hot weather is widespread.
10/03/2023, 8:31 am EDT
Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Middle East rains begin, last into early next year.
09/29/2023, 11:50 am EDT
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: East Coast susceptible to wet weather while elsewhere is hot and dry.
09/28/2023, 8:30 pm EDT

Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)

U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Q4/2023 is warm-biased East, wet Midwest to Southeast.
09/26/2023, 5:27 am EDT
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: +IOD/El Nino/MHW’s strongly favor an emerging Australian drought ahead!
09/22/2023, 4:03 pm EDT
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook
09/21/2023, 12:29 pm EDT
Season 1-3 Ahead U.S.: Changeable winter, cool West/warm Northeast spring, and another hot Central/East summer of 2024.
09/12/2023, 12:50 pm EDT
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Southeast Brazil is soaking wet, Central Brazil gains a drought pattern, in the 2023-24 hot season outlook.
09/06/2023, 8:02 pm EDT

ENSO Outlook

Weekly ENSO Diagnostics: Upper Ocean Heat Easing Slightly, Suggests El Nino 2023-24 Not a Super El Nino
10/02/2023, 2:01 pm EDT
Update on ENSO 2023-24 Outlook
09/10/2023, 4:20 pm EDT
September 2023 ENSO Outlook: El Nino continues to intensify. However, doubting a super intense El Nino ahead. La Nina returns later in 2024.
09/06/2023, 7:55 pm EDT
September 2023 Global Marine Heat Waves Outlook
09/06/2023, 7:43 pm EDT
Indian Ocean Dipole Outlook: The lack of an El Nino climate (so far) is hurting +IOD evolution.
07/11/2023, 11:17 am EDT

GLOBAL AGRICULTURE ALERT

SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK

Global Agricultural Alert

AG Market Early Notes: U.S. short-term rainfall.
10/03/2023, 8:22 am EDT
AG Market Global Alert PPTX Presentation
10/02/2023, 2:05 pm EDT
AG Market Daily Round-up: U.S. Sunday report.
10/01/2023, 2:18 pm EDT
AG Market Global Weather/Climate Sunday Report
10/01/2023, 11:45 am EDT
AG Hot Spot: Australia pattern change ahead.
09/27/2023, 7:44 am EDT
Daily Feature: Inconsistent Asia Monsoon blamed for lack of hydropower generation.
09/25/2023, 2:35 pm EDT

Soil Moisture Outlook

U.S. Soil Moisture Outlook: Drought Erosion by Late Quarter 4/2023.
09/27/2023, 5:00 pm EDT

Research

AG Market Research: Understanding The Difference Between Multivariate ENSO Index and Nino34 SSTA Index
09/13/2023, 9:28 am EDT
AG Market Marine Heatwave Research: Omega Block + Marine Heatwave = Libya Flooding
09/12/2023, 3:42 pm EDT

Tropics

North Atlantic Basin 10-Day Tropical Monitor
10/02/2023, 8:55 am EDT

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