IRI Collects ENSO Forecasts: Looks Like Neutral for 2018

Intensifying Marcus Northwest of Australia
03/18/2018, 4:53 pm EDT
Hot Spot: Australia Tropical Cyclones
03/21/2018, 12:14 pm EDT
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Each month the International Research Institute for Climate and Society collects ENSO phase forecasts from all statistical and dynamic models. This month’s assessment indicates the current weak La Nina is about to end. Neutral ENSO follows and may be with us for a while. In the extended-range for the last 4-5 months a transition toward weak El Nino is possible while returning to weak La Nina is not likely. A major ENSO event in 2018 is not likely.