Rhine/Danube River At Or Near Record Lows
Discussion: The Rhine River level at Kaub, Germany is near the all-time low of 2 feet today (Fig. 1) while (according to Reuters) 3 sections of the Danube River in Hungary dropped to record low levels today. The low river levels are attributed to a drought caused by a persistent high pressure ridge over Europe during the 2018 warm season (Fig. 2).
Fig. 1: The Rhine River level at Kaub, Germany is near an all-time record certainly exceeded shortly.
Fig. 2: High pressure ridge has crested over Europe during summer of 2018 bringing historic heat and drought.
The 14-day percent of normal rainfall forecast indicates dryness persists across the Rhine while short-term beneficial rains should benefit the Danube before dryness returns days 8-14 (Fig. 3-4). The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast for autumn into winter 2018 indicates beneficial rainfall for Central and East Europe leading to slow river level recovery (Fig. 5-6).
Fig. 3-4: The ECM ENS day 1-7/day 8-14 percent of normal rainfall forecast across Europe is indicated.
Fig. 5: The Climate Impact Company SEP/OCT/NOV 2018 constructed analog precipitation anomaly forecast for Europe is indicated.
Fig. 6: The Climate Impact Company DEC/JAN/FEB 2018-19 constructed analog precipitation anomaly forecast for Europe is indicated.